Péter Magyar's Tisza party dominates trader consensus at 94.8% odds for 50-54% popular vote share following the April 12 parliamentary election, where record 78% turnout propelled it to a projected supermajority amid widespread economic discontent and corruption fatigue eroding Fidesz support. Official National Election Office tallies show TISZA at 52.1% of national list votes with most precincts counted, aligning precisely with late polls from Medián and 21 Kutatóközpont averaging 51% among decided voters after widening its lead to 12-14 points in March-April surveys. Viktor Orbán's election-night concession underscores the result's firmness, though minor shifts could arise from overseas ballots or recounts—scenarios traders price below 5% given consistent urban-rural splits and no major disputes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트50-54% 94.8%
54% 이상 4.0%
42% 미만 <1%
42-46% <1%
$570,205 거래량
$570,205 거래량
2026.04.12
42% 미만
<1%
42-46%
<1%
46-50%
<1%
50-54%
95%
54% 이상
4%
50-54% 94.8%
54% 이상 4.0%
42% 미만 <1%
42-46% <1%
$570,205 거래량
$570,205 거래량
2026.04.12
42% 미만
$34,353 거래량
<1%
42-46%
$21,294 거래량
<1%
46-50%
$28,769 거래량
<1%
50-54%
$85,209 거래량
95%
54% 이상
$400,580 거래량
4%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.Péter Magyar's Tisza party dominates trader consensus at 94.8% odds for 50-54% popular vote share following the April 12 parliamentary election, where record 78% turnout propelled it to a projected supermajority amid widespread economic discontent and corruption fatigue eroding Fidesz support. Official National Election Office tallies show TISZA at 52.1% of national list votes with most precincts counted, aligning precisely with late polls from Medián and 21 Kutatóközpont averaging 51% among decided voters after widening its lead to 12-14 points in March-April surveys. Viktor Orbán's election-night concession underscores the result's firmness, though minor shifts could arise from overseas ballots or recounts—scenarios traders price below 5% given consistent urban-rural splits and no major disputes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
마켓 개설일: Mar 16, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
거래량
$570,205종료일
2026.04.12마켓 개설일
Mar 16, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.Péter Magyar's Tisza party dominates trader consensus at 94.8% odds for 50-54% popular vote share following the April 12 parliamentary election, where record 78% turnout propelled it to a projected supermajority amid widespread economic discontent and corruption fatigue eroding Fidesz support. Official National Election Office tallies show TISZA at 52.1% of national list votes with most precincts counted, aligning precisely with late polls from Medián and 21 Kutatóközpont averaging 51% among decided voters after widening its lead to 12-14 points in March-April surveys. Viktor Orbán's election-night concession underscores the result's firmness, though minor shifts could arise from overseas ballots or recounts—scenarios traders price below 5% given consistent urban-rural splits and no major disputes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
거래량
$570,205종료일
2026.04.12마켓 개설일
Mar 16, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Péter Magyar's Tisza party dominates trader consensus at 94.8% odds for 50-54% popular vote share following the April 12 parliamentary election, where record 78% turnout propelled it to a projected supermajority amid widespread economic discontent and corruption fatigue eroding Fidesz support. Official National Election Office tallies show TISZA at 52.1% of national list votes with most precincts counted, aligning precisely with late polls from Medián and 21 Kutatóközpont averaging 51% among decided voters after widening its lead to 12-14 points in March-April surveys. Viktor Orbán's election-night concession underscores the result's firmness, though minor shifts could arise from overseas ballots or recounts—scenarios traders price below 5% given consistent urban-rural splits and no major disputes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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