Chong Won-oh's decisive victory in the Democratic Party of Korea's primary last week—securing a majority via 50% party member votes and 50% public opinion polls without a runoff—has solidified his position as the ruling party's nominee for the June 3 Seoul mayoral election, driving trader consensus to an 89% implied probability. Incumbent Mayor Oh Se-hoon, representing the opposition People Power Party after resolving internal nomination disputes in March, trails at 7.5% amid Chong's recent criticisms of his administration and Oh's counter-challenges on policy visions. Other candidates, including potential independents or minor party figures like Park Yong-jin and Na Kyung-won, linger at 0.4%, highlighting the contest's focus on the two major parties as campaigning intensifies.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2026 서울시장 선거 당선자
2026 서울시장 선거 당선자
정원오 89%
오세훈 8%
조은희 <1%
안철수 <1%
$23,073,758 거래량
$23,073,758 거래량
정원오
89%
오세훈
8%
조은희
<1%
안철수
<1%
박용진
<1%
홍익표
<1%
조국
<1%
강훈식
<1%
나경원
<1%
한동훈
<1%
박주민
<1%
박홍근
<1%
서영교
<1%
전현희
<1%
정원오 89%
오세훈 8%
조은희 <1%
안철수 <1%
$23,073,758 거래량
$23,073,758 거래량
정원오
89%
오세훈
8%
조은희
<1%
안철수
<1%
박용진
<1%
홍익표
<1%
조국
<1%
강훈식
<1%
나경원
<1%
한동훈
<1%
박주민
<1%
박홍근
<1%
서영교
<1%
전현희
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
마켓 개설일: Nov 12, 2025, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Chong Won-oh's decisive victory in the Democratic Party of Korea's primary last week—securing a majority via 50% party member votes and 50% public opinion polls without a runoff—has solidified his position as the ruling party's nominee for the June 3 Seoul mayoral election, driving trader consensus to an 89% implied probability. Incumbent Mayor Oh Se-hoon, representing the opposition People Power Party after resolving internal nomination disputes in March, trails at 7.5% amid Chong's recent criticisms of his administration and Oh's counter-challenges on policy visions. Other candidates, including potential independents or minor party figures like Park Yong-jin and Na Kyung-won, linger at 0.4%, highlighting the contest's focus on the two major parties as campaigning intensifies.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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