President Trump's second term, underway since inauguration on January 20, 2025, shows no signs of early termination by April 30, anchoring trader consensus at 99.3% for "No" on his removal. Absent any verified developments in the past 30 days—such as impeachment proceedings, House articles of impeachment, Senate conviction votes requiring two-thirds majority, 25th Amendment invocation for incapacity, resignation announcements, or health crises—constitutional and political barriers remain formidable, especially with Republican majorities in Congress providing insulation. Trader confidence reflects historical rarity of mid-term presidential exits outside death or Watergate-era resignation. Potential shifters include sudden scandals, medical emergencies, or rapid legislative action, though none appear imminent before the April deadline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$8,512,265 거래량
$8,512,265 거래량
2026.04.30
예
$8,512,265 거래량
$8,512,265 거래량
2026.04.30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's second term, underway since inauguration on January 20, 2025, shows no signs of early termination by April 30, anchoring trader consensus at 99.3% for "No" on his removal. Absent any verified developments in the past 30 days—such as impeachment proceedings, House articles of impeachment, Senate conviction votes requiring two-thirds majority, 25th Amendment invocation for incapacity, resignation announcements, or health crises—constitutional and political barriers remain formidable, especially with Republican majorities in Congress providing insulation. Trader confidence reflects historical rarity of mid-term presidential exits outside death or Watergate-era resignation. Potential shifters include sudden scandals, medical emergencies, or rapid legislative action, though none appear imminent before the April deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
거래량
$8,512,265종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's second term, underway since inauguration on January 20, 2025, shows no signs of early termination by April 30, anchoring trader consensus at 99.3% for "No" on his removal. Absent any verified developments in the past 30 days—such as impeachment proceedings, House articles of impeachment, Senate conviction votes requiring two-thirds majority, 25th Amendment invocation for incapacity, resignation announcements, or health crises—constitutional and political barriers remain formidable, especially with Republican majorities in Congress providing insulation. Trader confidence reflects historical rarity of mid-term presidential exits outside death or Watergate-era resignation. Potential shifters include sudden scandals, medical emergencies, or rapid legislative action, though none appear imminent before the April deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$8,516,050종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's second term, underway since inauguration on January 20, 2025, shows no signs of early termination by April 30, anchoring trader consensus at 99.3% for "No" on his removal. Absent any verified developments in the past 30 days—such as impeachment proceedings, House articles of impeachment, Senate conviction votes requiring two-thirds majority, 25th Amendment invocation for incapacity, resignation announcements, or health crises—constitutional and political barriers remain formidable, especially with Republican majorities in Congress providing insulation. Trader confidence reflects historical rarity of mid-term presidential exits outside death or Watergate-era resignation. Potential shifters include sudden scandals, medical emergencies, or rapid legislative action, though none appear imminent before the April deadline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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