President Trump's recent social media criticisms of Pope Leo XIV—labeling him weak on crime and foreign policy amid the pontiff's calls for peace in the U.S.-involved Iran war—have fueled public tension, yet traders price an 85% chance of no disparagement by April 30. The first U.S.-born pope, elected in May 2025 as Robert Francis Prevost, drew rebukes during his ongoing Africa trip, prompting defenses from leaders like Italy's Giorgia Meloni and Brazil's Lula da Silva, alongside Catholic backlash that risks GOP midterm damage. With rhetoric cooling after initial broadsides earlier this week and no scheduled U.S.-Vatican encounters, market consensus views existing policy clashes as insufficient for a Yes resolution, betting against further personal escalation before the deadline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.04.30
신규
신규
2026.04.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Pope Leo XIV personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's recent social media criticisms of Pope Leo XIV—labeling him weak on crime and foreign policy amid the pontiff's calls for peace in the U.S.-involved Iran war—have fueled public tension, yet traders price an 85% chance of no disparagement by April 30. The first U.S.-born pope, elected in May 2025 as Robert Francis Prevost, drew rebukes during his ongoing Africa trip, prompting defenses from leaders like Italy's Giorgia Meloni and Brazil's Lula da Silva, alongside Catholic backlash that risks GOP midterm damage. With rhetoric cooling after initial broadsides earlier this week and no scheduled U.S.-Vatican encounters, market consensus views existing policy clashes as insufficient for a Yes resolution, betting against further personal escalation before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Pope Leo XIV personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Apr 13, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
거래량
$8,146종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 13, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Pope Leo XIV personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's recent social media criticisms of Pope Leo XIV—labeling him weak on crime and foreign policy amid the pontiff's calls for peace in the U.S.-involved Iran war—have fueled public tension, yet traders price an 85% chance of no disparagement by April 30. The first U.S.-born pope, elected in May 2025 as Robert Francis Prevost, drew rebukes during his ongoing Africa trip, prompting defenses from leaders like Italy's Giorgia Meloni and Brazil's Lula da Silva, alongside Catholic backlash that risks GOP midterm damage. With rhetoric cooling after initial broadsides earlier this week and no scheduled U.S.-Vatican encounters, market consensus views existing policy clashes as insufficient for a Yes resolution, betting against further personal escalation before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Pope Leo XIV personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$8,146종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 13, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's recent social media criticisms of Pope Leo XIV—labeling him weak on crime and foreign policy amid the pontiff's calls for peace in the U.S.-involved Iran war—have fueled public tension, yet traders price an 85% chance of no disparagement by April 30. The first U.S.-born pope, elected in May 2025 as Robert Francis Prevost, drew rebukes during his ongoing Africa trip, prompting defenses from leaders like Italy's Giorgia Meloni and Brazil's Lula da Silva, alongside Catholic backlash that risks GOP midterm damage. With rhetoric cooling after initial broadsides earlier this week and no scheduled U.S.-Vatican encounters, market consensus views existing policy clashes as insufficient for a Yes resolution, betting against further personal escalation before the deadline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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