Trader consensus favors Delcy Rodríguez at 62% to remain Venezuela's head of state by end-2026, reflecting her consolidation as interim president since Nicolás Maduro's U.S. capture and ouster in early January 2026, upheld by the Supreme Court. Recent military reforms, including the March 20 dismissal of defense minister Vladimir Padrino López and replacement of senior commanders, signal her efforts to neutralize chavismo rivals like Diosdado Cabello amid internal divisions. The U.S. sanctions lift on April 1 has bolstered economic stability via oil sector openings, reducing Maduro's return odds to 17%. Opposition figures María Corina Machado (9.5%) and Edmundo González (1.2%) trail due to ongoing repression and lack of electoral path, with elections potentially required by mid-year per constitutional timelines.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트델시 로드리게스 62%
니콜라스 마두로 17.4%
마리아 코리나 마차도 10%
에드문도 곤살레스 1.1%
$82,554,717 거래량
$82,554,717 거래량
2026.12.31
델시 로드리게스
62%
니콜라스 마두로
17%
마리아 코리나 마차도
10%
에드문도 곤살레스
1%
디오스다도 카베요 론돈
1%
국가 원수 없음
1%
도널드 트럼프
1%
마르코 루비오
<1%
디노라 피게라
<1%
호르헤 로드리게스
<1%
블라디미르 파드리노 로페스
<1%
피트 헥셋
<1%
프랭크 도노반
<1%
에반 페투스
<1%
댄 케인
<1%
리처드 그레넬
<1%
델시 로드리게스 62%
니콜라스 마두로 17.4%
마리아 코리나 마차도 10%
에드문도 곤살레스 1.1%
$82,554,717 거래량
$82,554,717 거래량
2026.12.31
델시 로드리게스
$1,373,224 거래량
62%
니콜라스 마두로
$999,666 거래량
17%
마리아 코리나 마차도
$918,031 거래량
10%
에드문도 곤살레스
$594,789 거래량
1%
디오스다도 카베요 론돈
$1,348,063 거래량
1%
국가 원수 없음
$770,914 거래량
1%
도널드 트럼프
$788,327 거래량
1%
마르코 루비오
$688,788 거래량
<1%
디노라 피게라
$2,098,627 거래량
<1%
호르헤 로드리게스
$887,536 거래량
<1%
블라디미르 파드리노 로페스
$472,492 거래량
<1%
피트 헥셋
$8,266,028 거래량
<1%
프랭크 도노반
$24,811,806 거래량
<1%
에반 페투스
$4,402,410 거래량
<1%
댄 케인
$2,421,802 거래량
<1%
리처드 그레넬
$31,712,212 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Trader consensus favors Delcy Rodríguez at 62% to remain Venezuela's head of state by end-2026, reflecting her consolidation as interim president since Nicolás Maduro's U.S. capture and ouster in early January 2026, upheld by the Supreme Court. Recent military reforms, including the March 20 dismissal of defense minister Vladimir Padrino López and replacement of senior commanders, signal her efforts to neutralize chavismo rivals like Diosdado Cabello amid internal divisions. The U.S. sanctions lift on April 1 has bolstered economic stability via oil sector openings, reducing Maduro's return odds to 17%. Opposition figures María Corina Machado (9.5%) and Edmundo González (1.2%) trail due to ongoing repression and lack of electoral path, with elections potentially required by mid-year per constitutional timelines.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
마켓 개설일: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
거래량
$82,554,717종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Trader consensus favors Delcy Rodríguez at 62% to remain Venezuela's head of state by end-2026, reflecting her consolidation as interim president since Nicolás Maduro's U.S. capture and ouster in early January 2026, upheld by the Supreme Court. Recent military reforms, including the March 20 dismissal of defense minister Vladimir Padrino López and replacement of senior commanders, signal her efforts to neutralize chavismo rivals like Diosdado Cabello amid internal divisions. The U.S. sanctions lift on April 1 has bolstered economic stability via oil sector openings, reducing Maduro's return odds to 17%. Opposition figures María Corina Machado (9.5%) and Edmundo González (1.2%) trail due to ongoing repression and lack of electoral path, with elections potentially required by mid-year per constitutional timelines.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
거래량
$82,554,717종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Delcy Rodríguez at 62% to remain Venezuela's head of state by end-2026, reflecting her consolidation as interim president since Nicolás Maduro's U.S. capture and ouster in early January 2026, upheld by the Supreme Court. Recent military reforms, including the March 20 dismissal of defense minister Vladimir Padrino López and replacement of senior commanders, signal her efforts to neutralize chavismo rivals like Diosdado Cabello amid internal divisions. The U.S. sanctions lift on April 1 has bolstered economic stability via oil sector openings, reducing Maduro's return odds to 17%. Opposition figures María Corina Machado (9.5%) and Edmundo González (1.2%) trail due to ongoing repression and lack of electoral path, with elections potentially required by mid-year per constitutional timelines.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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