Venezuelan opposition leader and 2025 Nobel Peace Prize winner María Corina Machado remains in exile after a dramatic boat escape from Venezuela in December 2025 amid Nicolás Maduro's U.S. capture in January 2026, which ushered in an interim government under former Vice President Delcy Rodríguez. Despite her March 1 announcement of a return "in coming weeks" to push for new presidential elections—potentially late 2026—and recent meetings with European leaders like France's Senate president and Spain's opposition figures, she has not reentered as of mid-April. Her party's Caracas headquarters reopened March 28 signals thawing political space, but timing hinges on U.S. coordination and transitional stability, with the National Assembly initiating electoral council replacements that could accelerate polls. Traders weigh her high-profile role against interim holdouts and logistical risks in this fragile post-Maduro landscape.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$5,552,972 거래량

4월 30일
6%

5월 31일
16%

6월 30일
47%
$5,552,972 거래량

4월 30일
6%

5월 31일
16%

6월 30일
47%
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Mar 9, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Venezuelan opposition leader and 2025 Nobel Peace Prize winner María Corina Machado remains in exile after a dramatic boat escape from Venezuela in December 2025 amid Nicolás Maduro's U.S. capture in January 2026, which ushered in an interim government under former Vice President Delcy Rodríguez. Despite her March 1 announcement of a return "in coming weeks" to push for new presidential elections—potentially late 2026—and recent meetings with European leaders like France's Senate president and Spain's opposition figures, she has not reentered as of mid-April. Her party's Caracas headquarters reopened March 28 signals thawing political space, but timing hinges on U.S. coordination and transitional stability, with the National Assembly initiating electoral council replacements that could accelerate polls. Traders weigh her high-profile role against interim holdouts and logistical risks in this fragile post-Maduro landscape.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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