Labour faces projections of historic losses in the May 7, 2026 local elections across 136 English councils contesting around 5,000 seats, with analysts forecasting a net decline of 1,700-1,900 seats amid national polls showing the party trailing Reform UK (23%), Greens (18%), and Conservatives (17%). Prime Minister Keir Starmer's net approval rating has plunged to -48, exacerbated by recent by-election defeats to Greens and Reform gains, reflecting incumbency backlash in these midterm-style contests. Fragmented vote shares favor Reform and Greens in projections, while all 32 London boroughs and key battlegrounds like Manchester test Labour's defenses; Scottish Parliament and Senedd elections coincide, amplifying national implications for governing party control.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
2026.05.07
300+
88%
400+
80%
500+
73%
600+
55%
700+
34%
$8,860 거래량
300+
$277 거래량
88%
400+
$0 거래량
80%
500+
$298 거래량
73%
600+
$416 거래량
55%
700+
$7,869 거래량
34%
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Labour Party if they are officially nominated by the Labour Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Labour Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.Labour faces projections of historic losses in the May 7, 2026 local elections across 136 English councils contesting around 5,000 seats, with analysts forecasting a net decline of 1,700-1,900 seats amid national polls showing the party trailing Reform UK (23%), Greens (18%), and Conservatives (17%). Prime Minister Keir Starmer's net approval rating has plunged to -48, exacerbated by recent by-election defeats to Greens and Reform gains, reflecting incumbency backlash in these midterm-style contests. Fragmented vote shares favor Reform and Greens in projections, while all 32 London boroughs and key battlegrounds like Manchester test Labour's defenses; Scottish Parliament and Senedd elections coincide, amplifying national implications for governing party control.
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Labour Party if they are officially nominated by the Labour Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Labour Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Labour Party if they are officially nominated by the Labour Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Labour Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
마켓 개설일: Apr 14, 2026, 5:31 PM ET
거래량
$8,860종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Labour Party if they are officially nominated by the Labour Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Labour Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.Labour faces projections of historic losses in the May 7, 2026 local elections across 136 English councils contesting around 5,000 seats, with analysts forecasting a net decline of 1,700-1,900 seats amid national polls showing the party trailing Reform UK (23%), Greens (18%), and Conservatives (17%). Prime Minister Keir Starmer's net approval rating has plunged to -48, exacerbated by recent by-election defeats to Greens and Reform gains, reflecting incumbency backlash in these midterm-style contests. Fragmented vote shares favor Reform and Greens in projections, while all 32 London boroughs and key battlegrounds like Manchester test Labour's defenses; Scottish Parliament and Senedd elections coincide, amplifying national implications for governing party control.
United Kingdom local elections are scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Labour Party if they are officially nominated by the Labour Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Labour Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins at least the listed number of council seats for the United Kingdom's metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Labour Party if they are officially nominated by the Labour Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Labour Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only elections for the United Kingdom’s metropolitan boroughs, London borough councils, unitary authorities, county councils, and district councils taking place on May 7, 2026, or rescheduled to within seven days thereafter, will be counted for this market.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 United Kingdom local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
거래량
$8,860종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Labour faces projections of historic losses in the May 7, 2026 local elections across 136 English councils contesting around 5,000 seats, with analysts forecasting a net decline of 1,700-1,900 seats amid national polls showing the party trailing Reform UK (23%), Greens (18%), and Conservatives (17%). Prime Minister Keir Starmer's net approval rating has plunged to -48, exacerbated by recent by-election defeats to Greens and Reform gains, reflecting incumbency backlash in these midterm-style contests. Fragmented vote shares favor Reform and Greens in projections, while all 32 London boroughs and key battlegrounds like Manchester test Labour's defenses; Scottish Parliament and Senedd elections coincide, amplifying national implications for governing party control.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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