Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 65-89 X posts from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15 12:00 PM ET, 2026, after public trackers like Polymarket's X Tracker confirmed a precise tally of 69 posts—fitting squarely in that bin following the period's close. This strong positioning reflects Musk's characteristically prolific social media cadence, averaging 20-30 daily updates amid heated public discourse on X platform innovations, Tesla developments, and cultural flashpoints, consistent with his 103 posts over the prior April 11-13 window. While awards-style secrecy isn't a factor here, an upset would require a rare verification dispute over post inclusion criteria (e.g., replies vs. originals), but multiple real-time counters make such a shift negligible as resolution nears.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트65~89 100.0%
40개 미만 <1%
40~64 <1%
90~114 <1%
$3,263,115 거래량
$3,263,115 거래량
2026.04.15
40개 미만
아니오
40~64
아니오
65~89
예
90~114
아니오
115-139
아니오
140~164
아니오
165-189
아니오
190-214
아니오
215-239
아니오
240개 이상
아니오
65~89 100.0%
40개 미만 <1%
40~64 <1%
90~114 <1%
$3,263,115 거래량
$3,263,115 거래량
2026.04.15
40개 미만
$695,709 거래량
아니오
40~64
$543,587 거래량
아니오
65~89
$609,615 거래량
예
90~114
$775,739 거래량
아니오
115-139
$332,875 거래량
아니오
140~164
$107,107 거래량
아니오
165-189
$63,053 거래량
아니오
190-214
$47,277 거래량
아니오
215-239
$49,661 거래량
아니오
240개 이상
$38,493 거래량
아니오
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 65-89 X posts from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15 12:00 PM ET, 2026, after public trackers like Polymarket's X Tracker confirmed a precise tally of 69 posts—fitting squarely in that bin following the period's close. This strong positioning reflects Musk's characteristically prolific social media cadence, averaging 20-30 daily updates amid heated public discourse on X platform innovations, Tesla developments, and cultural flashpoints, consistent with his 103 posts over the prior April 11-13 window. While awards-style secrecy isn't a factor here, an upset would require a rare verification dispute over post inclusion criteria (e.g., replies vs. originals), but multiple real-time counters make such a shift negligible as resolution nears.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
거래량
$3,263,115종료일
2026.04.15마켓 개설일
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 65-89 X posts from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15 12:00 PM ET, 2026, after public trackers like Polymarket's X Tracker confirmed a precise tally of 69 posts—fitting squarely in that bin following the period's close. This strong positioning reflects Musk's characteristically prolific social media cadence, averaging 20-30 daily updates amid heated public discourse on X platform innovations, Tesla developments, and cultural flashpoints, consistent with his 103 posts over the prior April 11-13 window. While awards-style secrecy isn't a factor here, an upset would require a rare verification dispute over post inclusion criteria (e.g., replies vs. originals), but multiple real-time counters make such a shift negligible as resolution nears.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$3,263,115종료일
2026.04.15마켓 개설일
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 65-89 X posts from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15 12:00 PM ET, 2026, after public trackers like Polymarket's X Tracker confirmed a precise tally of 69 posts—fitting squarely in that bin following the period's close. This strong positioning reflects Musk's characteristically prolific social media cadence, averaging 20-30 daily updates amid heated public discourse on X platform innovations, Tesla developments, and cultural flashpoints, consistent with his 103 posts over the prior April 11-13 window. While awards-style secrecy isn't a factor here, an upset would require a rare verification dispute over post inclusion criteria (e.g., replies vs. originals), but multiple real-time counters make such a shift negligible as resolution nears.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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