Thrash's commanding 97.4% implied probability stems from its explosive debut as Netflix's top global movie, racking up 37.7 million views this week—five times the 7.3 million of runner-up The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson and far ahead of holdovers like Anaconda. Released April 10, the shark-infested hurricane thriller, starring Bridgerton alum Phoebe Dynevor alongside Djimon Hounsou and Whitney Peak, tapped into proven disaster genre appeal amid prime spring streaming slots, fueling rapid word-of-mouth and cross-country dominance per Netflix's Top 10 charts. Trader consensus reflects this insurmountable lead midway through the tracking week, with upset scenarios limited to an unprecedented viral explosion from a challenger like Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle, though historical chart trajectories make that improbable as final viewership tallies lock in.