Surging pre-sales for early-access fan screenings on April 22 and bullish three-week tracking have driven trader consensus to a 65.5% implied probability for Michael's domestic opening weekend exceeding $80 million, outpacing conservative analyst estimates like Deadline's $60M+ projection from April 2. Jaafar Jackson's uncanny portrayal of his uncle, record trailer views in Lionsgate history, and broad appeal across demographics—bolstered by buzz from the April 10 Berlin world premiere—position the Antoine Fuqua-directed biopic to shatter Bohemian Rhapsody's $51M musical biopic record amid light competition. Final walk-ups, Thursday previews, and review embargoes lifting soon could shift dynamics before the April 24 release, underscoring entertainment box office volatility.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트"Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office
"Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office
>80m 65%
75-80m 21%
70-75m 12%
65-70m 7.3%
신규
신규
2026.04.27
<60m
4%
60-65m
7%
65-70m
7%
70-75m
12%
75-80m
15%
>80m
65%
>80m 65%
75-80m 21%
70-75m 12%
65-70m 7.3%
신규
신규
2026.04.27
<60m
$2,089 거래량
4%
60-65m
$358 거래량
7%
65-70m
$344 거래량
7%
70-75m
$475 거래량
12%
75-80m
$394 거래량
15%
>80m
$5,903 거래량
65%
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 24 - April 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Surging pre-sales for early-access fan screenings on April 22 and bullish three-week tracking have driven trader consensus to a 65.5% implied probability for Michael's domestic opening weekend exceeding $80 million, outpacing conservative analyst estimates like Deadline's $60M+ projection from April 2. Jaafar Jackson's uncanny portrayal of his uncle, record trailer views in Lionsgate history, and broad appeal across demographics—bolstered by buzz from the April 10 Berlin world premiere—position the Antoine Fuqua-directed biopic to shatter Bohemian Rhapsody's $51M musical biopic record amid light competition. Final walk-ups, Thursday previews, and review embargoes lifting soon could shift dynamics before the April 24 release, underscoring entertainment box office volatility.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 24 - April 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
마켓 개설일: Apr 9, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
거래량
$9,563종료일
2026.04.27마켓 개설일
Apr 9, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 24 - April 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Surging pre-sales for early-access fan screenings on April 22 and bullish three-week tracking have driven trader consensus to a 65.5% implied probability for Michael's domestic opening weekend exceeding $80 million, outpacing conservative analyst estimates like Deadline's $60M+ projection from April 2. Jaafar Jackson's uncanny portrayal of his uncle, record trailer views in Lionsgate history, and broad appeal across demographics—bolstered by buzz from the April 10 Berlin world premiere—position the Antoine Fuqua-directed biopic to shatter Bohemian Rhapsody's $51M musical biopic record amid light competition. Final walk-ups, Thursday previews, and review embargoes lifting soon could shift dynamics before the April 24 release, underscoring entertainment box office volatility.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 24 - April 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
거래량
$9,563종료일
2026.04.27마켓 개설일
Apr 9, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Surging pre-sales for early-access fan screenings on April 22 and bullish three-week tracking have driven trader consensus to a 65.5% implied probability for Michael's domestic opening weekend exceeding $80 million, outpacing conservative analyst estimates like Deadline's $60M+ projection from April 2. Jaafar Jackson's uncanny portrayal of his uncle, record trailer views in Lionsgate history, and broad appeal across demographics—bolstered by buzz from the April 10 Berlin world premiere—position the Antoine Fuqua-directed biopic to shatter Bohemian Rhapsody's $51M musical biopic record amid light competition. Final walk-ups, Thursday previews, and review embargoes lifting soon could shift dynamics before the April 24 release, underscoring entertainment box office volatility.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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