Former Rep. Eric Swalwell resigned from Congress and suspended his California gubernatorial campaign last week amid multiple sexual misconduct allegations, including rape claims from 2018, triggering early-stage investigations by the Manhattan DA, Los Angeles authorities, House Ethics Committee, FBI, DOJ, and others over related issues like campaign finance violations, mortgage irregularities, and revived scrutiny of past ties to suspected Chinese national Christine Fang. No charges, indictments, or arrest warrants have materialized as of April 16, 2026, with probes focused on evidence collection and witness interviews—a process historically spanning months. Trader consensus implying 91.5% "No" arrest by May 31 reflects this procedural timeline and lack of probable cause thus far, though accelerated victim cooperation or forensic breakthroughs could prompt rapid escalation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.05.31
신규
신규
2026.05.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Rep. Eric Swalwell resigned from Congress and suspended his California gubernatorial campaign last week amid multiple sexual misconduct allegations, including rape claims from 2018, triggering early-stage investigations by the Manhattan DA, Los Angeles authorities, House Ethics Committee, FBI, DOJ, and others over related issues like campaign finance violations, mortgage irregularities, and revived scrutiny of past ties to suspected Chinese national Christine Fang. No charges, indictments, or arrest warrants have materialized as of April 16, 2026, with probes focused on evidence collection and witness interviews—a process historically spanning months. Trader consensus implying 91.5% "No" arrest by May 31 reflects this procedural timeline and lack of probable cause thus far, though accelerated victim cooperation or forensic breakthroughs could prompt rapid escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ET
거래량
$9,630종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Rep. Eric Swalwell resigned from Congress and suspended his California gubernatorial campaign last week amid multiple sexual misconduct allegations, including rape claims from 2018, triggering early-stage investigations by the Manhattan DA, Los Angeles authorities, House Ethics Committee, FBI, DOJ, and others over related issues like campaign finance violations, mortgage irregularities, and revived scrutiny of past ties to suspected Chinese national Christine Fang. No charges, indictments, or arrest warrants have materialized as of April 16, 2026, with probes focused on evidence collection and witness interviews—a process historically spanning months. Trader consensus implying 91.5% "No" arrest by May 31 reflects this procedural timeline and lack of probable cause thus far, though accelerated victim cooperation or forensic breakthroughs could prompt rapid escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$9,630종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Former Rep. Eric Swalwell resigned from Congress and suspended his California gubernatorial campaign last week amid multiple sexual misconduct allegations, including rape claims from 2018, triggering early-stage investigations by the Manhattan DA, Los Angeles authorities, House Ethics Committee, FBI, DOJ, and others over related issues like campaign finance violations, mortgage irregularities, and revived scrutiny of past ties to suspected Chinese national Christine Fang. No charges, indictments, or arrest warrants have materialized as of April 16, 2026, with probes focused on evidence collection and witness interviews—a process historically spanning months. Trader consensus implying 91.5% "No" arrest by May 31 reflects this procedural timeline and lack of probable cause thus far, though accelerated victim cooperation or forensic breakthroughs could prompt rapid escalation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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