Vladimir Putin’s entrenched institutional authority, reinforced by 2020 constitutional amendments that reset term limits and permit him to serve until 2036, underpins trader consensus that he will remain president through the end of 2026. His fifth term, secured in the 2024 election, extends to 2030 with no designated successor or visible elite fractures. Recent actions, including May 2026 statements on battlefield progress in Ukraine, legislation authorizing foreign troop deployments, and ongoing Security Council and diplomatic engagements, signal sustained command over security services, the legislature, and regional elites. Approval ratings near 80 percent and the absence of health incidents or power shifts have kept probabilities stable, though abrupt internal realignments or major military reversals could still alter trajectories before the market resolves.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$6,747,133 거래량
$6,747,133 거래량
예
$6,747,133 거래량
$6,747,133 거래량
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vladimir Putin’s entrenched institutional authority, reinforced by 2020 constitutional amendments that reset term limits and permit him to serve until 2036, underpins trader consensus that he will remain president through the end of 2026. His fifth term, secured in the 2024 election, extends to 2030 with no designated successor or visible elite fractures. Recent actions, including May 2026 statements on battlefield progress in Ukraine, legislation authorizing foreign troop deployments, and ongoing Security Council and diplomatic engagements, signal sustained command over security services, the legislature, and regional elites. Approval ratings near 80 percent and the absence of health incidents or power shifts have kept probabilities stable, though abrupt internal realignments or major military reversals could still alter trajectories before the market resolves.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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