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6월 30일까지 푸틴을 러시아 대통령으로 선출하시겠습니까?

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6월 30일까지 푸틴을 러시아 대통령으로 선출하시겠습니까?

4% 확률
Polymarket

$1,209,452 거래량

4% 확률
Polymarket

$1,209,452 거래량

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that Vladimir Putin will remain Russia's president through June 30, driven by his constitutionally reset term until 2030, secured via 2020 amendments and 2024 re-election amid suppressed opposition. No verifiable developments in the past 30 days—such as official health announcements, Kremlin succession signals, elite dissent, or snap election calls—have emerged to challenge this stability, despite persistent Ukraine war strains and occasional unconfirmed rumors of reduced public appearances. High confidence stems from Putin's firm control over security services, military, and state media. Realistic shifts could arise from unforeseen health crises, assassination attempts, or internal power struggles among Kremlin insiders, though historical patterns show such events as rare under his tenure.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$1,209,452
종료일
2026.06.30
마켓 개설일
Dec 17, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that Vladimir Putin will remain Russia's president through June 30, driven by his constitutionally reset term until 2030, secured via 2020 amendments and 2024 re-election amid suppressed opposition. No verifiable developments in the past 30 days—such as official health announcements, Kremlin succession signals, elite dissent, or snap election calls—have emerged to challenge this stability, despite persistent Ukraine war strains and occasional unconfirmed rumors of reduced public appearances. High confidence stems from Putin's firm control over security services, military, and state media. Realistic shifts could arise from unforeseen health crises, assassination attempts, or internal power struggles among Kremlin insiders, though historical patterns show such events as rare under his tenure.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$1,209,452
종료일
2026.06.30
마켓 개설일
Dec 17, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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자주 묻는 질문

"6월 30일까지 푸틴을 러시아 대통령으로 선출하시겠습니까?"은 2개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 4%의 "6월 30일까지 푸틴이 러시아 대통령직에서 물러날까?"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 4¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 4%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "6월 30일까지 푸틴을 러시아 대통령으로 선출하시겠습니까?"은 총 $1.2 million의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Dec 17, 2025에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"6월 30일까지 푸틴을 러시아 대통령으로 선출하시겠습니까?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 2개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

이것은 완전히 열린 마켓입니다. "6월 30일까지 푸틴을 러시아 대통령으로 선출하시겠습니까?"의 현재 선두는 4%에 불과한 "6월 30일까지 푸틴이 러시아 대통령직에서 물러날까?"입니다. 강한 과반을 차지하는 결과가 없어 트레이더들은 이를 매우 불확실하게 보고 있으며, 이는 독특한 거래 기회를 제공할 수 있습니다. 이 확률은 실시간으로 업데이트되므로 이 페이지를 북마크하여 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 지켜보세요.

"6월 30일까지 푸틴을 러시아 대통령으로 선출하시겠습니까?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.