Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a decrease in the Bank of Russia's key rate at 96% implied probability for the April 24, 2026 meeting, reflecting seven consecutive 50 basis point cuts to the current 15.00% level, most recently on March 20 amid a sustained downward inflation trajectory. March 2026 consumer price inflation held steady at 5.9% year-over-year—slightly above the 5.8% forecast but with weekly readings near zero as of April 13—aligning with the central bank's projection of 4.5–5.5% by year-end and supporting further monetary easing to bolster slowing growth. This strong positioning could face challenges from unexpectedly hot April inflation data or escalated geopolitical risks prompting a policy pivot.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트인하 96.0%
변경 없음 3.9%
인상 <1%
$145,953 거래량
$145,953 거래량
인하
96%
변경 없음
4%
인상
<1%
인하 96.0%
변경 없음 3.9%
인상 <1%
$145,953 거래량
$145,953 거래량
인하
96%
변경 없음
4%
인상
<1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a decrease in the Bank of Russia's key rate at 96% implied probability for the April 24, 2026 meeting, reflecting seven consecutive 50 basis point cuts to the current 15.00% level, most recently on March 20 amid a sustained downward inflation trajectory. March 2026 consumer price inflation held steady at 5.9% year-over-year—slightly above the 5.8% forecast but with weekly readings near zero as of April 13—aligning with the central bank's projection of 4.5–5.5% by year-end and supporting further monetary easing to bolster slowing growth. This strong positioning could face challenges from unexpectedly hot April inflation data or escalated geopolitical risks prompting a policy pivot.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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