Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 96% implied probability to no change in the Bank of England Bank Rate at 3.75% for the April 30 MPC meeting, reflecting sticky yet stable UK CPI inflation at 3.0% through February—above the 2% target but unchanged month-on-month—and the March 19 unanimous hold amid balanced risks. Recent catalysts include the April 8 Middle East ceasefire alleviating energy price shocks from prior conflict, alongside Governor Bailey's April 1 comments that markets remain ahead on pricing hikes, tempering rate rise odds to 3.6%. Realistic challenges include a ceasefire breakdown reigniting inflation, hotter March CPI data, or surging wage growth prompting a policy shift.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트변동 없음 96.2%
인상 3.6%
50bp 이상 인하 <1%
25bp 인하 <1%
$446,091 거래량
$446,091 거래량
2026.04.30
50bp 이상 인하
<1%
25bp 인하
<1%
변동 없음
96%
인상
4%
변동 없음 96.2%
인상 3.6%
50bp 이상 인하 <1%
25bp 인하 <1%
$446,091 거래량
$446,091 거래량
2026.04.30
50bp 이상 인하
$75,436 거래량
<1%
25bp 인하
$158,011 거래량
<1%
변동 없음
$112,525 거래량
96%
인상
$100,122 거래량
4%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 96% implied probability to no change in the Bank of England Bank Rate at 3.75% for the April 30 MPC meeting, reflecting sticky yet stable UK CPI inflation at 3.0% through February—above the 2% target but unchanged month-on-month—and the March 19 unanimous hold amid balanced risks. Recent catalysts include the April 8 Middle East ceasefire alleviating energy price shocks from prior conflict, alongside Governor Bailey's April 1 comments that markets remain ahead on pricing hikes, tempering rate rise odds to 3.6%. Realistic challenges include a ceasefire breakdown reigniting inflation, hotter March CPI data, or surging wage growth prompting a policy shift.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ET
거래량
$446,091종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 96% implied probability to no change in the Bank of England Bank Rate at 3.75% for the April 30 MPC meeting, reflecting sticky yet stable UK CPI inflation at 3.0% through February—above the 2% target but unchanged month-on-month—and the March 19 unanimous hold amid balanced risks. Recent catalysts include the April 8 Middle East ceasefire alleviating energy price shocks from prior conflict, alongside Governor Bailey's April 1 comments that markets remain ahead on pricing hikes, tempering rate rise odds to 3.6%. Realistic challenges include a ceasefire breakdown reigniting inflation, hotter March CPI data, or surging wage growth prompting a policy shift.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
거래량
$446,091종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 96% implied probability to no change in the Bank of England Bank Rate at 3.75% for the April 30 MPC meeting, reflecting sticky yet stable UK CPI inflation at 3.0% through February—above the 2% target but unchanged month-on-month—and the March 19 unanimous hold amid balanced risks. Recent catalysts include the April 8 Middle East ceasefire alleviating energy price shocks from prior conflict, alongside Governor Bailey's April 1 comments that markets remain ahead on pricing hikes, tempering rate rise odds to 3.6%. Realistic challenges include a ceasefire breakdown reigniting inflation, hotter March CPI data, or surging wage growth prompting a policy shift.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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