March 2026 Consumer Price Index surged to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—driven by a 0.9% monthly jump fueled by soaring energy prices from Iran-related oil disruptions and geopolitical tensions. Core CPI excluding food and energy rose more modestly at 0.2% monthly, but persistent services inflation and new tariffs signal upside risks to the 2026 peak. The Federal Reserve's March dot plot raised PCE inflation projections to 2.7% for the year, diverging from private forecasts like the Shadow Board's 4.2% headline estimate amid robust labor markets. Traders eye the April CPI release on May 12 and the May FOMC meeting for signals on policy response, with Treasury yields climbing on reflation fears. Prediction markets aggregate skin-in-the-game sentiment pricing elevated inflation persistence.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$604,112 거래량
2026.12.31
3.5% 초과
91%
4% 초과
52%
5% 초과
21%
6% 이상
15%
8% 초과
8%
10% 이상
5%
$604,112 거래량
3.5% 초과
$74,139 거래량
91%
4% 초과
$104,826 거래량
52%
5% 초과
$54,318 거래량
21%
6% 이상
$28,058 거래량
15%
8% 초과
$33,823 거래량
8%
10% 이상
$28,903 거래량
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.March 2026 Consumer Price Index surged to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—driven by a 0.9% monthly jump fueled by soaring energy prices from Iran-related oil disruptions and geopolitical tensions. Core CPI excluding food and energy rose more modestly at 0.2% monthly, but persistent services inflation and new tariffs signal upside risks to the 2026 peak. The Federal Reserve's March dot plot raised PCE inflation projections to 2.7% for the year, diverging from private forecasts like the Shadow Board's 4.2% headline estimate amid robust labor markets. Traders eye the April CPI release on May 12 and the May FOMC meeting for signals on policy response, with Treasury yields climbing on reflation fears. Prediction markets aggregate skin-in-the-game sentiment pricing elevated inflation persistence.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
마켓 개설일: Mar 20, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
거래량
$604,112종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 20, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.March 2026 Consumer Price Index surged to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—driven by a 0.9% monthly jump fueled by soaring energy prices from Iran-related oil disruptions and geopolitical tensions. Core CPI excluding food and energy rose more modestly at 0.2% monthly, but persistent services inflation and new tariffs signal upside risks to the 2026 peak. The Federal Reserve's March dot plot raised PCE inflation projections to 2.7% for the year, diverging from private forecasts like the Shadow Board's 4.2% headline estimate amid robust labor markets. Traders eye the April CPI release on May 12 and the May FOMC meeting for signals on policy response, with Treasury yields climbing on reflation fears. Prediction markets aggregate skin-in-the-game sentiment pricing elevated inflation persistence.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
거래량
$604,112종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 20, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...March 2026 Consumer Price Index surged to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—driven by a 0.9% monthly jump fueled by soaring energy prices from Iran-related oil disruptions and geopolitical tensions. Core CPI excluding food and energy rose more modestly at 0.2% monthly, but persistent services inflation and new tariffs signal upside risks to the 2026 peak. The Federal Reserve's March dot plot raised PCE inflation projections to 2.7% for the year, diverging from private forecasts like the Shadow Board's 4.2% headline estimate amid robust labor markets. Traders eye the April CPI release on May 12 and the May FOMC meeting for signals on policy response, with Treasury yields climbing on reflation fears. Prediction markets aggregate skin-in-the-game sentiment pricing elevated inflation persistence.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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