Polymarket traders price South Africa 2026 annual CPI inflation in a tight race, with 4.1-4.4% leading at 25.5% implied probability closely followed by >5.0% at 22.3%, reflecting uncertainty from a recent oil price surge past $100 per barrel amid Middle East tensions that weakened the rand and triggered April fuel price hikes. This offsets February's benign 3.0% print—the lowest since mid-2025—and aligns with SARB's March MPC upward revision to a 3.7% full-year average forecast, featuring a Q2 peak near 4.0% from 18% fuel inflation. Key differentiators include oil persistence, rand stability, and electricity tariffs, with March CPI data due April 22 as the next catalyst ahead of May MPC.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4.7~5.0% 31%
3.5-3.8% 26.2%
>5.0% 26.0%
4.1-4.4% 25%
$21,110 거래량
$21,110 거래량
2027.01.20
2.6% 미만
3%
2.6-2.9%
10%
2.9-3.2%
20%
3.2-3.5%
20%
3.5-3.8%
18%
3.8-4.1%
21%
4.1-4.4%
26%
4.4-4.7%
17%
4.7~5.0%
20%
>5.0%
26%
4.7~5.0% 31%
3.5-3.8% 26.2%
>5.0% 26.0%
4.1-4.4% 25%
$21,110 거래량
$21,110 거래량
2027.01.20
2.6% 미만
$250 거래량
3%
2.6-2.9%
$270 거래량
10%
2.9-3.2%
$350 거래량
20%
3.2-3.5%
$363 거래량
20%
3.5-3.8%
$460 거래량
18%
3.8-4.1%
$655 거래량
21%
4.1-4.4%
$488 거래량
26%
4.4-4.7%
$12,089 거래량
17%
4.7~5.0%
$361 거래량
20%
>5.0%
$5,825 거래량
26%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Polymarket traders price South Africa 2026 annual CPI inflation in a tight race, with 4.1-4.4% leading at 25.5% implied probability closely followed by >5.0% at 22.3%, reflecting uncertainty from a recent oil price surge past $100 per barrel amid Middle East tensions that weakened the rand and triggered April fuel price hikes. This offsets February's benign 3.0% print—the lowest since mid-2025—and aligns with SARB's March MPC upward revision to a 3.7% full-year average forecast, featuring a Q2 peak near 4.0% from 18% fuel inflation. Key differentiators include oil persistence, rand stability, and electricity tariffs, with March CPI data due April 22 as the next catalyst ahead of May MPC.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
마켓 개설일: Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
거래량
$21,110종료일
2027.01.20마켓 개설일
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Polymarket traders price South Africa 2026 annual CPI inflation in a tight race, with 4.1-4.4% leading at 25.5% implied probability closely followed by >5.0% at 22.3%, reflecting uncertainty from a recent oil price surge past $100 per barrel amid Middle East tensions that weakened the rand and triggered April fuel price hikes. This offsets February's benign 3.0% print—the lowest since mid-2025—and aligns with SARB's March MPC upward revision to a 3.7% full-year average forecast, featuring a Q2 peak near 4.0% from 18% fuel inflation. Key differentiators include oil persistence, rand stability, and electricity tariffs, with March CPI data due April 22 as the next catalyst ahead of May MPC.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
거래량
$21,110종료일
2027.01.20마켓 개설일
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price South Africa 2026 annual CPI inflation in a tight race, with 4.1-4.4% leading at 25.5% implied probability closely followed by >5.0% at 22.3%, reflecting uncertainty from a recent oil price surge past $100 per barrel amid Middle East tensions that weakened the rand and triggered April fuel price hikes. This offsets February's benign 3.0% print—the lowest since mid-2025—and aligns with SARB's March MPC upward revision to a 3.7% full-year average forecast, featuring a Q2 peak near 4.0% from 18% fuel inflation. Key differentiators include oil persistence, rand stability, and electricity tariffs, with March CPI data due April 22 as the next catalyst ahead of May MPC.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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