Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 92.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank of Japan's policy rate at its April 27-28 meeting, driven by softening inflation data and Governor Ueda's recent cautious rhetoric. February core CPI eased to 1.3%—its lowest since 2022 and below the 2% target—while March Tokyo core rose just 1.7% against 1.8% expectations, tempering hike pressures amid Middle East tensions spiking oil prices and yen weakness near USD/JPY 159. Ueda's April 13 comments highlighted market volatility and accommodative real rates, cooling prior ex-official calls for a 25 basis points increase. Upside risks from sustained wage gains or sharper inflation could challenge this positioning ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트변경 없음 95%
25bp 인상 6%
금리 인하 <1%
50bp 이상 인상 <1%
$708,752 거래량
$708,752 거래량
2026.04.28
금리 인하
<1%
변경 없음
95%
25bp 인상
6%
50bp 이상 인상
<1%
변경 없음 95%
25bp 인상 6%
금리 인하 <1%
50bp 이상 인상 <1%
$708,752 거래량
$708,752 거래량
2026.04.28
금리 인하
$161,631 거래량
<1%
변경 없음
$143,722 거래량
95%
25bp 인상
$149,450 거래량
6%
50bp 이상 인상
$254,163 거래량
<1%
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for April is scheduled to be released on April 28, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 92.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank of Japan's policy rate at its April 27-28 meeting, driven by softening inflation data and Governor Ueda's recent cautious rhetoric. February core CPI eased to 1.3%—its lowest since 2022 and below the 2% target—while March Tokyo core rose just 1.7% against 1.8% expectations, tempering hike pressures amid Middle East tensions spiking oil prices and yen weakness near USD/JPY 159. Ueda's April 13 comments highlighted market volatility and accommodative real rates, cooling prior ex-official calls for a 25 basis points increase. Upside risks from sustained wage gains or sharper inflation could challenge this positioning ahead of resolution.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for April is scheduled to be released on April 28, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Jan 23, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
거래량
$708,752종료일
2026.04.28마켓 개설일
Jan 23, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for April is scheduled to be released on April 28, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 92.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank of Japan's policy rate at its April 27-28 meeting, driven by softening inflation data and Governor Ueda's recent cautious rhetoric. February core CPI eased to 1.3%—its lowest since 2022 and below the 2% target—while March Tokyo core rose just 1.7% against 1.8% expectations, tempering hike pressures amid Middle East tensions spiking oil prices and yen weakness near USD/JPY 159. Ueda's April 13 comments highlighted market volatility and accommodative real rates, cooling prior ex-official calls for a 25 basis points increase. Upside risks from sustained wage gains or sharper inflation could challenge this positioning ahead of resolution.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for April is scheduled to be released on April 28, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
거래량
$708,752종료일
2026.04.28마켓 개설일
Jan 23, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 92.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank of Japan's policy rate at its April 27-28 meeting, driven by softening inflation data and Governor Ueda's recent cautious rhetoric. February core CPI eased to 1.3%—its lowest since 2022 and below the 2% target—while March Tokyo core rose just 1.7% against 1.8% expectations, tempering hike pressures amid Middle East tensions spiking oil prices and yen weakness near USD/JPY 159. Ueda's April 13 comments highlighted market volatility and accommodative real rates, cooling prior ex-official calls for a 25 basis points increase. Upside risks from sustained wage gains or sharper inflation could challenge this positioning ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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