U.S. naval blockade enforcement since April 14 has slashed Strait of Hormuz traffic over 95% from pre-war levels—handling 20% of global seaborne oil—stranding 230+ tankers and initially surging Brent crude past $120 per barrel before a pullback to $95 as of April 16. Sporadic transits persist, with 20+ commercial vessels including Chinese VLCCs passing in the last 24 hours despite U.S. interceptions, while U.S. destroyers cleared mines. Iran's fresh proposal for safe Omani-side passage amid U.S.-Iran talks bolsters hopes for flows by April 30. Elevated VLCC charter rates above $100,000/day reflect insurance hikes and supply risks, amplifying energy sector volatility and inflation pressures; watch weekly traffic data and truce developments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$402,121 거래량
2026.04.30
20+
77%
40+
47%
60+
34%
80+
21%
$402,121 거래량
20+
$169,518 거래량
77%
40+
$64,234 거래량
47%
60+
$65,129 거래량
34%
80+
$103,241 거래량
21%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The number of daily transit calls/arrivals includes container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points, made within this market’s timeframe, will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for April 30, 2026, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.U.S. naval blockade enforcement since April 14 has slashed Strait of Hormuz traffic over 95% from pre-war levels—handling 20% of global seaborne oil—stranding 230+ tankers and initially surging Brent crude past $120 per barrel before a pullback to $95 as of April 16. Sporadic transits persist, with 20+ commercial vessels including Chinese VLCCs passing in the last 24 hours despite U.S. interceptions, while U.S. destroyers cleared mines. Iran's fresh proposal for safe Omani-side passage amid U.S.-Iran talks bolsters hopes for flows by April 30. Elevated VLCC charter rates above $100,000/day reflect insurance hikes and supply risks, amplifying energy sector volatility and inflation pressures; watch weekly traffic data and truce developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The number of daily transit calls/arrivals includes container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points, made within this market’s timeframe, will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for April 30, 2026, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
The number of daily transit calls/arrivals includes container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points, made within this market’s timeframe, will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for April 30, 2026, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
거래량
$402,121종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The number of daily transit calls/arrivals includes container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points, made within this market’s timeframe, will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for April 30, 2026, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.U.S. naval blockade enforcement since April 14 has slashed Strait of Hormuz traffic over 95% from pre-war levels—handling 20% of global seaborne oil—stranding 230+ tankers and initially surging Brent crude past $120 per barrel before a pullback to $95 as of April 16. Sporadic transits persist, with 20+ commercial vessels including Chinese VLCCs passing in the last 24 hours despite U.S. interceptions, while U.S. destroyers cleared mines. Iran's fresh proposal for safe Omani-side passage amid U.S.-Iran talks bolsters hopes for flows by April 30. Elevated VLCC charter rates above $100,000/day reflect insurance hikes and supply risks, amplifying energy sector volatility and inflation pressures; watch weekly traffic data and truce developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The number of daily transit calls/arrivals includes container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points, made within this market’s timeframe, will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for April 30, 2026, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
The number of daily transit calls/arrivals includes container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points, made within this market’s timeframe, will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for April 30, 2026, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
거래량
$402,121종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. naval blockade enforcement since April 14 has slashed Strait of Hormuz traffic over 95% from pre-war levels—handling 20% of global seaborne oil—stranding 230+ tankers and initially surging Brent crude past $120 per barrel before a pullback to $95 as of April 16. Sporadic transits persist, with 20+ commercial vessels including Chinese VLCCs passing in the last 24 hours despite U.S. interceptions, while U.S. destroyers cleared mines. Iran's fresh proposal for safe Omani-side passage amid U.S.-Iran talks bolsters hopes for flows by April 30. Elevated VLCC charter rates above $100,000/day reflect insurance hikes and supply risks, amplifying energy sector volatility and inflation pressures; watch weekly traffic data and truce developments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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