**US warships transited the Strait of Hormuz on April 11—the first such passage since Iran's restrictions began in late February amid the ongoing 2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis—prompting Iranian threats and highlighting escalated naval tensions.** Two guided-missile destroyers, USS Frank E. Peterson Jr. and USS Michael Murphy, entered from the Gulf of Oman to support mine-clearing and blockade enforcement against Iranian ports, with US Central Command reporting over a dozen warships positioned nearby. President Trump has urged allies including the UK, France, Japan, and South Korea to send vessels for freedom of navigation, but no other nations have confirmed transits despite multinational talks hosted by Britain. Ongoing US blockade has deterred shipping, turning back six vessels in its first day on April 14, while cease-fire negotiations remain stalled; further diplomatic developments or escalations could prompt allied naval actions before the April 30 resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$2,481,635 거래량
2026.04.30
영국
10%
프랑스
8%
파키스탄
5%
인도
4%
이탈리아
3%
독일
3%
네덜란드
3%
그리스
2%
일본
2%
캐나다
1%
$2,481,635 거래량
영국
$317,193 거래량
10%
프랑스
$158,073 거래량
8%
파키스탄
$133,834 거래량
5%
인도
$166,528 거래량
4%
이탈리아
$91,968 거래량
3%
독일
$74,653 거래량
3%
네덜란드
$187,182 거래량
3%
그리스
$97,859 거래량
2%
일본
$235,285 거래량
2%
캐나다
$92,425 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**US warships transited the Strait of Hormuz on April 11—the first such passage since Iran's restrictions began in late February amid the ongoing 2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis—prompting Iranian threats and highlighting escalated naval tensions.** Two guided-missile destroyers, USS Frank E. Peterson Jr. and USS Michael Murphy, entered from the Gulf of Oman to support mine-clearing and blockade enforcement against Iranian ports, with US Central Command reporting over a dozen warships positioned nearby. President Trump has urged allies including the UK, France, Japan, and South Korea to send vessels for freedom of navigation, but no other nations have confirmed transits despite multinational talks hosted by Britain. Ongoing US blockade has deterred shipping, turning back six vessels in its first day on April 14, while cease-fire negotiations remain stalled; further diplomatic developments or escalations could prompt allied naval actions before the April 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
마켓 개설일: Mar 27, 2026, 1:36 PM ET
거래량
$2,481,635종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 27, 2026, 1:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**US warships transited the Strait of Hormuz on April 11—the first such passage since Iran's restrictions began in late February amid the ongoing 2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis—prompting Iranian threats and highlighting escalated naval tensions.** Two guided-missile destroyers, USS Frank E. Peterson Jr. and USS Michael Murphy, entered from the Gulf of Oman to support mine-clearing and blockade enforcement against Iranian ports, with US Central Command reporting over a dozen warships positioned nearby. President Trump has urged allies including the UK, France, Japan, and South Korea to send vessels for freedom of navigation, but no other nations have confirmed transits despite multinational talks hosted by Britain. Ongoing US blockade has deterred shipping, turning back six vessels in its first day on April 14, while cease-fire negotiations remain stalled; further diplomatic developments or escalations could prompt allied naval actions before the April 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
거래량
$2,481,635종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 27, 2026, 1:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**US warships transited the Strait of Hormuz on April 11—the first such passage since Iran's restrictions began in late February amid the ongoing 2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis—prompting Iranian threats and highlighting escalated naval tensions.** Two guided-missile destroyers, USS Frank E. Peterson Jr. and USS Michael Murphy, entered from the Gulf of Oman to support mine-clearing and blockade enforcement against Iranian ports, with US Central Command reporting over a dozen warships positioned nearby. President Trump has urged allies including the UK, France, Japan, and South Korea to send vessels for freedom of navigation, but no other nations have confirmed transits despite multinational talks hosted by Britain. Ongoing US blockade has deterred shipping, turning back six vessels in its first day on April 14, while cease-fire negotiations remain stalled; further diplomatic developments or escalations could prompt allied naval actions before the April 30 resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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