North Korea's recent barrage of missile activities, including multiple short-range ballistic missile launches toward the East Sea on April 7-8 and cruise plus anti-ship missile tests from the new 5,000-ton destroyer Choe Hyon on April 12-14 overseen by Kim Jong Un, has fueled trader consensus implying a 73% probability of another test by April 30. These provocations, the most intense in weeks, coincide with U.S.-South Korea military drills and Pyongyang's declarations labeling Seoul a "hostile enemy," signaling ongoing escalation in weapons demonstrations. Historical patterns of frequent ballistic and cruise missile firings—over a dozen in 2026 so far—bolster expectations of continued activity amid stalled diplomacy, though no specific launches are confirmed in the past 48 hours.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.04.30
신규
신규
2026.04.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea's recent barrage of missile activities, including multiple short-range ballistic missile launches toward the East Sea on April 7-8 and cruise plus anti-ship missile tests from the new 5,000-ton destroyer Choe Hyon on April 12-14 overseen by Kim Jong Un, has fueled trader consensus implying a 73% probability of another test by April 30. These provocations, the most intense in weeks, coincide with U.S.-South Korea military drills and Pyongyang's declarations labeling Seoul a "hostile enemy," signaling ongoing escalation in weapons demonstrations. Historical patterns of frequent ballistic and cruise missile firings—over a dozen in 2026 so far—bolster expectations of continued activity amid stalled diplomacy, though no specific launches are confirmed in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
마켓 개설일: Apr 14, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
거래량
$237종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea's recent barrage of missile activities, including multiple short-range ballistic missile launches toward the East Sea on April 7-8 and cruise plus anti-ship missile tests from the new 5,000-ton destroyer Choe Hyon on April 12-14 overseen by Kim Jong Un, has fueled trader consensus implying a 73% probability of another test by April 30. These provocations, the most intense in weeks, coincide with U.S.-South Korea military drills and Pyongyang's declarations labeling Seoul a "hostile enemy," signaling ongoing escalation in weapons demonstrations. Historical patterns of frequent ballistic and cruise missile firings—over a dozen in 2026 so far—bolster expectations of continued activity amid stalled diplomacy, though no specific launches are confirmed in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
거래량
$237종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...North Korea's recent barrage of missile activities, including multiple short-range ballistic missile launches toward the East Sea on April 7-8 and cruise plus anti-ship missile tests from the new 5,000-ton destroyer Choe Hyon on April 12-14 overseen by Kim Jong Un, has fueled trader consensus implying a 73% probability of another test by April 30. These provocations, the most intense in weeks, coincide with U.S.-South Korea military drills and Pyongyang's declarations labeling Seoul a "hostile enemy," signaling ongoing escalation in weapons demonstrations. Historical patterns of frequent ballistic and cruise missile firings—over a dozen in 2026 so far—bolster expectations of continued activity amid stalled diplomacy, though no specific launches are confirmed in the past 48 hours.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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