US military operations against Iran, initiated with joint US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, targeting nuclear sites, leadership, and defenses, continue amid a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz imposed this week after Pakistan-mediated ceasefire talks collapsed on April 12. President Trump has voiced optimism for a deal, stating Iran seeks negotiations "very badly," but no end announcement has occurred, with Pentagon briefings confirming ongoing actions including port blockades and recent personnel rescues. Senate Republicans rejected a war powers resolution yesterday, preserving executive flexibility. Traders weigh stalled diplomacy, Iranian rejections of US proposals, and potential Thursday meetings between Pakistan's army chief and Tehran officials as key factors in timing any de-escalation signal.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$26,833,952 거래량
2026.04.21
4월 21일
13%
4월 30일
29%
5월 31일
73%
6월 30일
81%
$26,833,952 거래량
4월 21일
$1,230,408 거래량
13%
4월 30일
$5,304,636 거래량
29%
5월 31일
$362,664 거래량
73%
6월 30일
$1,941,415 거래량
81%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US military operations against Iran, initiated with joint US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, targeting nuclear sites, leadership, and defenses, continue amid a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz imposed this week after Pakistan-mediated ceasefire talks collapsed on April 12. President Trump has voiced optimism for a deal, stating Iran seeks negotiations "very badly," but no end announcement has occurred, with Pentagon briefings confirming ongoing actions including port blockades and recent personnel rescues. Senate Republicans rejected a war powers resolution yesterday, preserving executive flexibility. Traders weigh stalled diplomacy, Iranian rejections of US proposals, and potential Thursday meetings between Pakistan's army chief and Tehran officials as key factors in timing any de-escalation signal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 8, 2026, 10:55 AM ET
거래량
$26,833,952종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Apr 8, 2026, 10:55 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US military operations against Iran, initiated with joint US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, targeting nuclear sites, leadership, and defenses, continue amid a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz imposed this week after Pakistan-mediated ceasefire talks collapsed on April 12. President Trump has voiced optimism for a deal, stating Iran seeks negotiations "very badly," but no end announcement has occurred, with Pentagon briefings confirming ongoing actions including port blockades and recent personnel rescues. Senate Republicans rejected a war powers resolution yesterday, preserving executive flexibility. Traders weigh stalled diplomacy, Iranian rejections of US proposals, and potential Thursday meetings between Pakistan's army chief and Tehran officials as key factors in timing any de-escalation signal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$26,833,952종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Apr 8, 2026, 10:55 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military operations against Iran, initiated with joint US-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, targeting nuclear sites, leadership, and defenses, continue amid a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz imposed this week after Pakistan-mediated ceasefire talks collapsed on April 12. President Trump has voiced optimism for a deal, stating Iran seeks negotiations "very badly," but no end announcement has occurred, with Pentagon briefings confirming ongoing actions including port blockades and recent personnel rescues. Senate Republicans rejected a war powers resolution yesterday, preserving executive flexibility. Traders weigh stalled diplomacy, Iranian rejections of US proposals, and potential Thursday meetings between Pakistan's army chief and Tehran officials as key factors in timing any de-escalation signal.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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