Trader consensus slightly favors no country expelling an Israeli ambassador by December 31, with "No" at 55.5%, amid sustained Middle East tensions but high diplomatic thresholds preventing escalation to full expulsions. In late January 2026, South Africa declared Israel's deputy ambassador persona non grata over alleged violations of diplomatic norms via social media posts, prompting Israel to reciprocate by expelling a South African diplomat—yet no chief ambassadors were removed. Spain's March permanent recall of its own envoy to Israel downgraded bilateral ties over Gaza operations and Iran-related frictions, but Madrid did not target Israel's representative. Despite global protests, parliamentary motions in Ireland and elsewhere, and ongoing Gaza ceasefire talks, no governments have advanced beyond rhetoric or reciprocal envoy actions, underscoring economic interdependencies and alliance pressures as key barriers through year-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$19,418 거래량
$19,418 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$19,418 거래량
$19,418 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus slightly favors no country expelling an Israeli ambassador by December 31, with "No" at 55.5%, amid sustained Middle East tensions but high diplomatic thresholds preventing escalation to full expulsions. In late January 2026, South Africa declared Israel's deputy ambassador persona non grata over alleged violations of diplomatic norms via social media posts, prompting Israel to reciprocate by expelling a South African diplomat—yet no chief ambassadors were removed. Spain's March permanent recall of its own envoy to Israel downgraded bilateral ties over Gaza operations and Iran-related frictions, but Madrid did not target Israel's representative. Despite global protests, parliamentary motions in Ireland and elsewhere, and ongoing Gaza ceasefire talks, no governments have advanced beyond rhetoric or reciprocal envoy actions, underscoring economic interdependencies and alliance pressures as key barriers through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
거래량
$19,418종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus slightly favors no country expelling an Israeli ambassador by December 31, with "No" at 55.5%, amid sustained Middle East tensions but high diplomatic thresholds preventing escalation to full expulsions. In late January 2026, South Africa declared Israel's deputy ambassador persona non grata over alleged violations of diplomatic norms via social media posts, prompting Israel to reciprocate by expelling a South African diplomat—yet no chief ambassadors were removed. Spain's March permanent recall of its own envoy to Israel downgraded bilateral ties over Gaza operations and Iran-related frictions, but Madrid did not target Israel's representative. Despite global protests, parliamentary motions in Ireland and elsewhere, and ongoing Gaza ceasefire talks, no governments have advanced beyond rhetoric or reciprocal envoy actions, underscoring economic interdependencies and alliance pressures as key barriers through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$19,418종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus slightly favors no country expelling an Israeli ambassador by December 31, with "No" at 55.5%, amid sustained Middle East tensions but high diplomatic thresholds preventing escalation to full expulsions. In late January 2026, South Africa declared Israel's deputy ambassador persona non grata over alleged violations of diplomatic norms via social media posts, prompting Israel to reciprocate by expelling a South African diplomat—yet no chief ambassadors were removed. Spain's March permanent recall of its own envoy to Israel downgraded bilateral ties over Gaza operations and Iran-related frictions, but Madrid did not target Israel's representative. Despite global protests, parliamentary motions in Ireland and elsewhere, and ongoing Gaza ceasefire talks, no governments have advanced beyond rhetoric or reciprocal envoy actions, underscoring economic interdependencies and alliance pressures as key barriers through year-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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