Amid fragile US-Iran ceasefire and a US naval blockade of Iranian ports imposed after failed marathon talks, diplomats are pushing for a second round of direct negotiations potentially within days. The inaugural in-person US-Iran discussions in Islamabad on April 11-12 yielded no agreement on nuclear curbs or regional proxies, per Vice President JD Vance, but delegations exchanged written texts amid cautious optimism from President Trump. Pakistani mediators arrived in Tehran April 15 to bridge gaps, as the ceasefire deadline looms, with Strait of Hormuz shipping disruptions heightening escalation risks and influencing trader assessments of near-term diplomatic breakthroughs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,069,553 거래량
2026.04.30
4월 15일
<1%
4월 16일
1%
4월 17일
6%
4월 18일
17%
4월 22일
68%
4월 30일
89%
$1,069,553 거래량
4월 15일
$74,657 거래량
<1%
4월 16일
$85,600 거래량
1%
4월 17일
$38,730 거래량
6%
4월 18일
$532,120 거래량
17%
4월 22일
$223,402 거래량
68%
4월 30일
$115,044 거래량
89%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid fragile US-Iran ceasefire and a US naval blockade of Iranian ports imposed after failed marathon talks, diplomats are pushing for a second round of direct negotiations potentially within days. The inaugural in-person US-Iran discussions in Islamabad on April 11-12 yielded no agreement on nuclear curbs or regional proxies, per Vice President JD Vance, but delegations exchanged written texts amid cautious optimism from President Trump. Pakistani mediators arrived in Tehran April 15 to bridge gaps, as the ceasefire deadline looms, with Strait of Hormuz shipping disruptions heightening escalation risks and influencing trader assessments of near-term diplomatic breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Apr 14, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
거래량
$1,069,553종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid fragile US-Iran ceasefire and a US naval blockade of Iranian ports imposed after failed marathon talks, diplomats are pushing for a second round of direct negotiations potentially within days. The inaugural in-person US-Iran discussions in Islamabad on April 11-12 yielded no agreement on nuclear curbs or regional proxies, per Vice President JD Vance, but delegations exchanged written texts amid cautious optimism from President Trump. Pakistani mediators arrived in Tehran April 15 to bridge gaps, as the ceasefire deadline looms, with Strait of Hormuz shipping disruptions heightening escalation risks and influencing trader assessments of near-term diplomatic breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$1,069,553종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid fragile US-Iran ceasefire and a US naval blockade of Iranian ports imposed after failed marathon talks, diplomats are pushing for a second round of direct negotiations potentially within days. The inaugural in-person US-Iran discussions in Islamabad on April 11-12 yielded no agreement on nuclear curbs or regional proxies, per Vice President JD Vance, but delegations exchanged written texts amid cautious optimism from President Trump. Pakistani mediators arrived in Tehran April 15 to bridge gaps, as the ceasefire deadline looms, with Strait of Hormuz shipping disruptions heightening escalation risks and influencing trader assessments of near-term diplomatic breakthroughs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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