Recent marathon indirect US-Iran negotiations in Islamabad on April 11-12 ended without a deal, primarily over Iran's insistence on limited uranium enrichment restrictions versus Washington's demand for a 20-year nuclear suspension and removal of enriched material. Despite the deadlock, Vice President JD Vance noted progress on other issues like reopening the Strait of Hormuz, while the White House expressed optimism for a swift second round amid ongoing economic sanctions and a fragile April 7 ceasefire nearing expiration. President Trump's signals that the conflict is "close to over" have fueled trader consensus implying 58.5% odds of a nuclear agreement by June 30, though sticking points and Iranian leadership approval needs keep the outcome closely contested ahead of potential resumed talks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$1,154,240 거래량
$1,154,240 거래량
2026.06.30
예
$1,154,240 거래량
$1,154,240 거래량
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent marathon indirect US-Iran negotiations in Islamabad on April 11-12 ended without a deal, primarily over Iran's insistence on limited uranium enrichment restrictions versus Washington's demand for a 20-year nuclear suspension and removal of enriched material. Despite the deadlock, Vice President JD Vance noted progress on other issues like reopening the Strait of Hormuz, while the White House expressed optimism for a swift second round amid ongoing economic sanctions and a fragile April 7 ceasefire nearing expiration. President Trump's signals that the conflict is "close to over" have fueled trader consensus implying 58.5% odds of a nuclear agreement by June 30, though sticking points and Iranian leadership approval needs keep the outcome closely contested ahead of potential resumed talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
마켓 개설일: Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
거래량
$1,154,240종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent marathon indirect US-Iran negotiations in Islamabad on April 11-12 ended without a deal, primarily over Iran's insistence on limited uranium enrichment restrictions versus Washington's demand for a 20-year nuclear suspension and removal of enriched material. Despite the deadlock, Vice President JD Vance noted progress on other issues like reopening the Strait of Hormuz, while the White House expressed optimism for a swift second round amid ongoing economic sanctions and a fragile April 7 ceasefire nearing expiration. President Trump's signals that the conflict is "close to over" have fueled trader consensus implying 58.5% odds of a nuclear agreement by June 30, though sticking points and Iranian leadership approval needs keep the outcome closely contested ahead of potential resumed talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
거래량
$1,154,240종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent marathon indirect US-Iran negotiations in Islamabad on April 11-12 ended without a deal, primarily over Iran's insistence on limited uranium enrichment restrictions versus Washington's demand for a 20-year nuclear suspension and removal of enriched material. Despite the deadlock, Vice President JD Vance noted progress on other issues like reopening the Strait of Hormuz, while the White House expressed optimism for a swift second round amid ongoing economic sanctions and a fragile April 7 ceasefire nearing expiration. President Trump's signals that the conflict is "close to over" have fueled trader consensus implying 58.5% odds of a nuclear agreement by June 30, though sticking points and Iranian leadership approval needs keep the outcome closely contested ahead of potential resumed talks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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