Despite heightened tensions from the 2026 Middle East war, where Houthis resumed ballistic missile strikes on Israel starting March 28, no verified Houthi drone, missile, or airstrike has impacted Saudi territory in the past 30 days, upholding the informal 2022 truce bolstered by Omani mediation and Saudi salary payments to Houthi-controlled areas. Saudi Arabia urged the US on April 14 to lift its Strait of Hormuz blockade, fearing Houthi retaliation targeting Bab al-Mandeb Strait shipping lanes. A drone attack damaged the East-West oil pipeline on April 8 without Houthi attribution. Enhanced Saudi defenses, including new Samoom UAVs, and Pakistan troop deployments signal deterrence ahead of potential late-April diplomatic talks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$51,429 거래량
2026.04.15
4월 15일
<1%
4월 30일
8%
$51,429 거래량
4월 15일
$27,702 거래량
<1%
4월 30일
$23,727 거래량
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Saudi Arabia's
ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Saudi Arabia's control.
Saudi Arabia's ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Saudi Arabia as of market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Saudi Arabia's soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Despite heightened tensions from the 2026 Middle East war, where Houthis resumed ballistic missile strikes on Israel starting March 28, no verified Houthi drone, missile, or airstrike has impacted Saudi territory in the past 30 days, upholding the informal 2022 truce bolstered by Omani mediation and Saudi salary payments to Houthi-controlled areas. Saudi Arabia urged the US on April 14 to lift its Strait of Hormuz blockade, fearing Houthi retaliation targeting Bab al-Mandeb Strait shipping lanes. A drone attack damaged the East-West oil pipeline on April 8 without Houthi attribution. Enhanced Saudi defenses, including new Samoom UAVs, and Pakistan troop deployments signal deterrence ahead of potential late-April diplomatic talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Saudi Arabia's
ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Saudi Arabia's control.
Saudi Arabia's ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Saudi Arabia as of market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Saudi Arabia's soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Saudi Arabia's control.
Saudi Arabia's ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Saudi Arabia as of market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Saudi Arabia's soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 4:53 PM ET
거래량
$51,429종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Saudi Arabia's
ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Saudi Arabia's control.
Saudi Arabia's ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Saudi Arabia as of market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Saudi Arabia's soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Despite heightened tensions from the 2026 Middle East war, where Houthis resumed ballistic missile strikes on Israel starting March 28, no verified Houthi drone, missile, or airstrike has impacted Saudi territory in the past 30 days, upholding the informal 2022 truce bolstered by Omani mediation and Saudi salary payments to Houthi-controlled areas. Saudi Arabia urged the US on April 14 to lift its Strait of Hormuz blockade, fearing Houthi retaliation targeting Bab al-Mandeb Strait shipping lanes. A drone attack damaged the East-West oil pipeline on April 8 without Houthi attribution. Enhanced Saudi defenses, including new Samoom UAVs, and Pakistan troop deployments signal deterrence ahead of potential late-April diplomatic talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Saudi Arabia's
ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Saudi Arabia's control.
Saudi Arabia's ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Saudi Arabia as of market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Saudi Arabia's soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Saudi Arabia's control.
Saudi Arabia's ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Saudi Arabia as of market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Saudi Arabia's soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
거래량
$51,429종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite heightened tensions from the 2026 Middle East war, where Houthis resumed ballistic missile strikes on Israel starting March 28, no verified Houthi drone, missile, or airstrike has impacted Saudi territory in the past 30 days, upholding the informal 2022 truce bolstered by Omani mediation and Saudi salary payments to Houthi-controlled areas. Saudi Arabia urged the US on April 14 to lift its Strait of Hormuz blockade, fearing Houthi retaliation targeting Bab al-Mandeb Strait shipping lanes. A drone attack damaged the East-West oil pipeline on April 8 without Houthi attribution. Enhanced Saudi defenses, including new Samoom UAVs, and Pakistan troop deployments signal deterrence ahead of potential late-April diplomatic talks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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