Amid fragile ceasefire efforts following the February 2026 US-Israel airstrikes on Iranian military and nuclear targets—including prior campaigns hitting Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan—trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over renewed Israeli action against the deeply buried Fordow enrichment facility. Stalled US-led negotiations in Islamabad ended without progress on April 12, as the US Navy enforces a Strait of Hormuz blockade to curb Iranian vessel movements, while Hezbollah resumed cross-border attacks on April 9. Iran signals no rush to deal, citing its fortified nuclear infrastructure and stockpiles of near-weapons-grade uranium at Fordow, potentially immune to conventional strikes. Escalation risks persist ahead of any diplomatic breakthroughs or regime shifts in Tehran.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$254,084 거래량
2026.04.15
4월 15일
<1%
4월 30일
4%
$254,084 거래량
4월 15일
$142,313 거래량
<1%
4월 30일
$111,770 거래량
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid fragile ceasefire efforts following the February 2026 US-Israel airstrikes on Iranian military and nuclear targets—including prior campaigns hitting Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan—trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over renewed Israeli action against the deeply buried Fordow enrichment facility. Stalled US-led negotiations in Islamabad ended without progress on April 12, as the US Navy enforces a Strait of Hormuz blockade to curb Iranian vessel movements, while Hezbollah resumed cross-border attacks on April 9. Iran signals no rush to deal, citing its fortified nuclear infrastructure and stockpiles of near-weapons-grade uranium at Fordow, potentially immune to conventional strikes. Escalation risks persist ahead of any diplomatic breakthroughs or regime shifts in Tehran.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
거래량
$254,084종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid fragile ceasefire efforts following the February 2026 US-Israel airstrikes on Iranian military and nuclear targets—including prior campaigns hitting Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan—trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over renewed Israeli action against the deeply buried Fordow enrichment facility. Stalled US-led negotiations in Islamabad ended without progress on April 12, as the US Navy enforces a Strait of Hormuz blockade to curb Iranian vessel movements, while Hezbollah resumed cross-border attacks on April 9. Iran signals no rush to deal, citing its fortified nuclear infrastructure and stockpiles of near-weapons-grade uranium at Fordow, potentially immune to conventional strikes. Escalation risks persist ahead of any diplomatic breakthroughs or regime shifts in Tehran.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$254,084종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid fragile ceasefire efforts following the February 2026 US-Israel airstrikes on Iranian military and nuclear targets—including prior campaigns hitting Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan—trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over renewed Israeli action against the deeply buried Fordow enrichment facility. Stalled US-led negotiations in Islamabad ended without progress on April 12, as the US Navy enforces a Strait of Hormuz blockade to curb Iranian vessel movements, while Hezbollah resumed cross-border attacks on April 9. Iran signals no rush to deal, citing its fortified nuclear infrastructure and stockpiles of near-weapons-grade uranium at Fordow, potentially immune to conventional strikes. Escalation risks persist ahead of any diplomatic breakthroughs or regime shifts in Tehran.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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