Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis escalated regional tensions by launching multiple ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israel starting March 28, 2026—their first since the 2025 Gaza ceasefire—amid the ongoing US-Israeli war with Iran, prompting Israeli interceptions but no confirmed retaliatory strikes on Yemen to date. These provocations, including claims of targeting sensitive military sites and threats of Red Sea shipping disruptions via Bab al-Mandab Strait closure, have fueled trader consensus on potential Israeli military action, though the Houthis' degraded capabilities from prior US-Israeli campaigns limit their reach. A US-Iran two-week ceasefire and upcoming UN Security Council discussions on Yemen add uncertainty, with no major developments in the past week.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,595,978 거래량
2026.04.15
4월 15일
1%
4월 30일
21%
5월 31일
29%
6월 30일
28%
$1,595,978 거래량
4월 15일
$203,998 거래량
1%
4월 30일
$190,216 거래량
21%
5월 31일
$76,501 거래량
29%
6월 30일
$435,322 거래량
28%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis escalated regional tensions by launching multiple ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israel starting March 28, 2026—their first since the 2025 Gaza ceasefire—amid the ongoing US-Israeli war with Iran, prompting Israeli interceptions but no confirmed retaliatory strikes on Yemen to date. These provocations, including claims of targeting sensitive military sites and threats of Red Sea shipping disruptions via Bab al-Mandab Strait closure, have fueled trader consensus on potential Israeli military action, though the Houthis' degraded capabilities from prior US-Israeli campaigns limit their reach. A US-Iran two-week ceasefire and upcoming UN Security Council discussions on Yemen add uncertainty, with no major developments in the past week.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Mar 30, 2026, 5:08 PM ET
거래량
$1,595,978종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Mar 30, 2026, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis escalated regional tensions by launching multiple ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israel starting March 28, 2026—their first since the 2025 Gaza ceasefire—amid the ongoing US-Israeli war with Iran, prompting Israeli interceptions but no confirmed retaliatory strikes on Yemen to date. These provocations, including claims of targeting sensitive military sites and threats of Red Sea shipping disruptions via Bab al-Mandab Strait closure, have fueled trader consensus on potential Israeli military action, though the Houthis' degraded capabilities from prior US-Israeli campaigns limit their reach. A US-Iran two-week ceasefire and upcoming UN Security Council discussions on Yemen add uncertainty, with no major developments in the past week.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$1,595,978종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Mar 30, 2026, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis escalated regional tensions by launching multiple ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israel starting March 28, 2026—their first since the 2025 Gaza ceasefire—amid the ongoing US-Israeli war with Iran, prompting Israeli interceptions but no confirmed retaliatory strikes on Yemen to date. These provocations, including claims of targeting sensitive military sites and threats of Red Sea shipping disruptions via Bab al-Mandab Strait closure, have fueled trader consensus on potential Israeli military action, though the Houthis' degraded capabilities from prior US-Israeli campaigns limit their reach. A US-Iran two-week ceasefire and upcoming UN Security Council discussions on Yemen add uncertainty, with no major developments in the past week.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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