US and Israeli forces continue airstrikes against Iranian military targets, including a US restrrike on Kharg Island on April 7 and sustained operations suppressing Tehran's missile launchers, amid an ongoing naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz initiated earlier in the conflict that began February 28. Iran rejected a US ceasefire proposal on April 6 and has launched retaliatory missile and drone attacks on Israel and US bases in Saudi Arabia, UAE, Bahrain, Qatar, and Kuwait, drawing defensive intercepts from NATO systems in Turkey and logistical support from Gulf states. Saudi Arabia hosts US HIMARS and airstrikes, while UAE conducted its first offensive action; UK authorized launches from RAF Fairford. Diplomatic talks, including Israel-Lebanon on April 14, could signal de-escalation before the April 30 deadline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$2,749,646 거래량
2026.04.30
UAE
7%
사우디아라비아
6%
쿠웨이트
3%
카타르
3%
터키
2%
바레인
2%
영국
2%
요르단
1%
어떤 EU 국가
1%
오만
1%
독일
1%
캐나다
<1%
프랑스
<1%
$2,749,646 거래량
UAE
$1,332,397 거래량
7%
사우디아라비아
$509,921 거래량
6%
쿠웨이트
$115,149 거래량
3%
카타르
$27,577 거래량
3%
터키
$68,982 거래량
2%
바레인
$45,099 거래량
2%
영국
$220,828 거래량
2%
요르단
$19,699 거래량
1%
어떤 EU 국가
$44,927 거래량
1%
오만
$30,126 거래량
1%
독일
$120,116 거래량
1%
캐나다
$39,886 거래량
<1%
프랑스
$174,978 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli forces continue airstrikes against Iranian military targets, including a US restrrike on Kharg Island on April 7 and sustained operations suppressing Tehran's missile launchers, amid an ongoing naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz initiated earlier in the conflict that began February 28. Iran rejected a US ceasefire proposal on April 6 and has launched retaliatory missile and drone attacks on Israel and US bases in Saudi Arabia, UAE, Bahrain, Qatar, and Kuwait, drawing defensive intercepts from NATO systems in Turkey and logistical support from Gulf states. Saudi Arabia hosts US HIMARS and airstrikes, while UAE conducted its first offensive action; UK authorized launches from RAF Fairford. Diplomatic talks, including Israel-Lebanon on April 14, could signal de-escalation before the April 30 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
거래량
$2,749,646종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli forces continue airstrikes against Iranian military targets, including a US restrrike on Kharg Island on April 7 and sustained operations suppressing Tehran's missile launchers, amid an ongoing naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz initiated earlier in the conflict that began February 28. Iran rejected a US ceasefire proposal on April 6 and has launched retaliatory missile and drone attacks on Israel and US bases in Saudi Arabia, UAE, Bahrain, Qatar, and Kuwait, drawing defensive intercepts from NATO systems in Turkey and logistical support from Gulf states. Saudi Arabia hosts US HIMARS and airstrikes, while UAE conducted its first offensive action; UK authorized launches from RAF Fairford. Diplomatic talks, including Israel-Lebanon on April 14, could signal de-escalation before the April 30 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$2,749,646종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and Israeli forces continue airstrikes against Iranian military targets, including a US restrrike on Kharg Island on April 7 and sustained operations suppressing Tehran's missile launchers, amid an ongoing naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz initiated earlier in the conflict that began February 28. Iran rejected a US ceasefire proposal on April 6 and has launched retaliatory missile and drone attacks on Israel and US bases in Saudi Arabia, UAE, Bahrain, Qatar, and Kuwait, drawing defensive intercepts from NATO systems in Turkey and logistical support from Gulf states. Saudi Arabia hosts US HIMARS and airstrikes, while UAE conducted its first offensive action; UK authorized launches from RAF Fairford. Diplomatic talks, including Israel-Lebanon on April 14, could signal de-escalation before the April 30 deadline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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