The U.S. Embassy in Beirut remains operational on limited emergency services following a February 23 ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and family members amid regional tensions involving Hezbollah and Iran-aligned militias, with no escalation to full evacuation as of the latest April 3 security alert urging U.S. citizens to depart via commercial flights. Recent U.S.-brokered direct Israel-Lebanon diplomatic talks in Washington have yielded optimism for negotiations and confidence-building measures, signaling de-escalation despite sporadic rocket fire. Trader consensus at 97.8% "No" reflects this stabilized posture under Level 4 Do Not Travel advisory, with routine consular operations suspended but no imminent threats warranting a noncombatant evacuation operation by April 30; sudden Israeli ground action, major Hezbollah retaliation, or direct embassy targeting could still prompt reversal.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$13,515 거래량
$13,515 거래량
2026.04.30
$13,515 거래량
$13,515 거래량
2026.04.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The U.S. Embassy in Beirut remains operational on limited emergency services following a February 23 ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and family members amid regional tensions involving Hezbollah and Iran-aligned militias, with no escalation to full evacuation as of the latest April 3 security alert urging U.S. citizens to depart via commercial flights. Recent U.S.-brokered direct Israel-Lebanon diplomatic talks in Washington have yielded optimism for negotiations and confidence-building measures, signaling de-escalation despite sporadic rocket fire. Trader consensus at 97.8% "No" reflects this stabilized posture under Level 4 Do Not Travel advisory, with routine consular operations suspended but no imminent threats warranting a noncombatant evacuation operation by April 30; sudden Israeli ground action, major Hezbollah retaliation, or direct embassy targeting could still prompt reversal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
거래량
$13,515종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The U.S. Embassy in Beirut remains operational on limited emergency services following a February 23 ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and family members amid regional tensions involving Hezbollah and Iran-aligned militias, with no escalation to full evacuation as of the latest April 3 security alert urging U.S. citizens to depart via commercial flights. Recent U.S.-brokered direct Israel-Lebanon diplomatic talks in Washington have yielded optimism for negotiations and confidence-building measures, signaling de-escalation despite sporadic rocket fire. Trader consensus at 97.8% "No" reflects this stabilized posture under Level 4 Do Not Travel advisory, with routine consular operations suspended but no imminent threats warranting a noncombatant evacuation operation by April 30; sudden Israeli ground action, major Hezbollah retaliation, or direct embassy targeting could still prompt reversal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
거래량
$13,515종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. Embassy in Beirut remains operational on limited emergency services following a February 23 ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and family members amid regional tensions involving Hezbollah and Iran-aligned militias, with no escalation to full evacuation as of the latest April 3 security alert urging U.S. citizens to depart via commercial flights. Recent U.S.-brokered direct Israel-Lebanon diplomatic talks in Washington have yielded optimism for negotiations and confidence-building measures, signaling de-escalation despite sporadic rocket fire. Trader consensus at 97.8% "No" reflects this stabilized posture under Level 4 Do Not Travel advisory, with routine consular operations suspended but no imminent threats warranting a noncombatant evacuation operation by April 30; sudden Israeli ground action, major Hezbollah retaliation, or direct embassy targeting could still prompt reversal.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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