Amid ongoing Israeli-Hezbollah hostilities resumed on March 2, 2026, following a Hezbollah rocket attack on Israel, IDF ground forces have advanced into southern Lebanon—crossing the Litani River, capturing Beaufort Castle, and completing forward deployments—but have not entered Beirut municipality, limiting operations to airstrikes on Hezbollah targets in the capital's southern suburbs like Dahiyeh. Over 2,000 Lebanese have been killed in Israeli strikes since escalation, prompting a humanitarian crisis and Lebanese army deployments in Beirut with snipers and roadblocks to demilitarize the city per reported understandings. Trader consensus reflects low odds of ground incursion by April 30, buoyed by imminent direct Israel-Lebanon talks in Washington this week amid U.S. pressure for de-escalation, though continued airstrikes underscore escalation risks ahead of potential ceasefire negotiations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$134,682 거래량
2026.04.30
4월 30일
3%
$134,682 거래량
4월 30일
$100,077 거래량
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Amid ongoing Israeli-Hezbollah hostilities resumed on March 2, 2026, following a Hezbollah rocket attack on Israel, IDF ground forces have advanced into southern Lebanon—crossing the Litani River, capturing Beaufort Castle, and completing forward deployments—but have not entered Beirut municipality, limiting operations to airstrikes on Hezbollah targets in the capital's southern suburbs like Dahiyeh. Over 2,000 Lebanese have been killed in Israeli strikes since escalation, prompting a humanitarian crisis and Lebanese army deployments in Beirut with snipers and roadblocks to demilitarize the city per reported understandings. Trader consensus reflects low odds of ground incursion by April 30, buoyed by imminent direct Israel-Lebanon talks in Washington this week amid U.S. pressure for de-escalation, though continued airstrikes underscore escalation risks ahead of potential ceasefire negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 16, 2026, 8:15 PM ET
거래량
$134,682종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 16, 2026, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Amid ongoing Israeli-Hezbollah hostilities resumed on March 2, 2026, following a Hezbollah rocket attack on Israel, IDF ground forces have advanced into southern Lebanon—crossing the Litani River, capturing Beaufort Castle, and completing forward deployments—but have not entered Beirut municipality, limiting operations to airstrikes on Hezbollah targets in the capital's southern suburbs like Dahiyeh. Over 2,000 Lebanese have been killed in Israeli strikes since escalation, prompting a humanitarian crisis and Lebanese army deployments in Beirut with snipers and roadblocks to demilitarize the city per reported understandings. Trader consensus reflects low odds of ground incursion by April 30, buoyed by imminent direct Israel-Lebanon talks in Washington this week amid U.S. pressure for de-escalation, though continued airstrikes underscore escalation risks ahead of potential ceasefire negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$134,682종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 16, 2026, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid ongoing Israeli-Hezbollah hostilities resumed on March 2, 2026, following a Hezbollah rocket attack on Israel, IDF ground forces have advanced into southern Lebanon—crossing the Litani River, capturing Beaufort Castle, and completing forward deployments—but have not entered Beirut municipality, limiting operations to airstrikes on Hezbollah targets in the capital's southern suburbs like Dahiyeh. Over 2,000 Lebanese have been killed in Israeli strikes since escalation, prompting a humanitarian crisis and Lebanese army deployments in Beirut with snipers and roadblocks to demilitarize the city per reported understandings. Trader consensus reflects low odds of ground incursion by April 30, buoyed by imminent direct Israel-Lebanon talks in Washington this week amid U.S. pressure for de-escalation, though continued airstrikes underscore escalation risks ahead of potential ceasefire negotiations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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