**Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) ground operations remain confined to southern Lebanon up to the Litani River following the March 2026 invasion targeting Hezbollah infrastructure, with no verified advances toward Beirut, over 100 km north of the border.** A fragile ceasefire agreed on April 16 and extended for three weeks amid US-hosted talks has seen mutual violations, including IDF airstrikes on Beirut's southern suburbs and Hezbollah rocket fire. Israel entrenches its security zone while demanding Hezbollah disarmament, as Lebanese forces assert limited control. Ongoing diplomatic efforts and potential no-confidence votes in Lebanon's parliament could tip escalation risks before mid-May resolution deadlines.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$197,255 거래량
2026.04.30
3월 31일
아니오
4월 30일
아니오
$197,255 거래량
3월 31일
$34,621 거래량
아니오
4월 30일
$162,635 거래량
아니오
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) ground operations remain confined to southern Lebanon up to the Litani River following the March 2026 invasion targeting Hezbollah infrastructure, with no verified advances toward Beirut, over 100 km north of the border.** A fragile ceasefire agreed on April 16 and extended for three weeks amid US-hosted talks has seen mutual violations, including IDF airstrikes on Beirut's southern suburbs and Hezbollah rocket fire. Israel entrenches its security zone while demanding Hezbollah disarmament, as Lebanese forces assert limited control. Ongoing diplomatic efforts and potential no-confidence votes in Lebanon's parliament could tip escalation risks before mid-May resolution deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 16, 2026, 8:15 PM ET
거래량
$197,255종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 16, 2026, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) ground operations remain confined to southern Lebanon up to the Litani River following the March 2026 invasion targeting Hezbollah infrastructure, with no verified advances toward Beirut, over 100 km north of the border.** A fragile ceasefire agreed on April 16 and extended for three weeks amid US-hosted talks has seen mutual violations, including IDF airstrikes on Beirut's southern suburbs and Hezbollah rocket fire. Israel entrenches its security zone while demanding Hezbollah disarmament, as Lebanese forces assert limited control. Ongoing diplomatic efforts and potential no-confidence votes in Lebanon's parliament could tip escalation risks before mid-May resolution deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$197,255종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 16, 2026, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
**Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) ground operations remain confined to southern Lebanon up to the Litani River following the March 2026 invasion targeting Hezbollah infrastructure, with no verified advances toward Beirut, over 100 km north of the border.** A fragile ceasefire agreed on April 16 and extended for three weeks amid US-hosted talks has seen mutual violations, including IDF airstrikes on Beirut's southern suburbs and Hezbollah rocket fire. Israel entrenches its security zone while demanding Hezbollah disarmament, as Lebanese forces assert limited control. Ongoing diplomatic efforts and potential no-confidence votes in Lebanon's parliament could tip escalation risks before mid-May resolution deadlines.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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