Under the Trump administration, trader consensus prices a US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027 at 68.5% yes, driven by recent indirect talks in Islamabad where the US proposed a 20-year pause on Iran's uranium enrichment program in exchange for sanctions relief, as confirmed by multiple reports two days ago. President Trump stated Iran wants a peace deal "very badly" but insists on "no nukes," while Vice President JD Vance noted Tehran rejected terms after 21 hours of negotiations four days ago, yet signaled openness to a "grand bargain" linking nuclear curbs to economic revival. Amid a fragile ceasefire expiring soon and US military pressure, upcoming rounds via Omani mediation sustain momentum, outweighing sticking points on enrichment levels and proxy funding, with 20 months remaining for resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$629,189 거래량
$629,189 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$629,189 거래량
$629,189 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Under the Trump administration, trader consensus prices a US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027 at 68.5% yes, driven by recent indirect talks in Islamabad where the US proposed a 20-year pause on Iran's uranium enrichment program in exchange for sanctions relief, as confirmed by multiple reports two days ago. President Trump stated Iran wants a peace deal "very badly" but insists on "no nukes," while Vice President JD Vance noted Tehran rejected terms after 21 hours of negotiations four days ago, yet signaled openness to a "grand bargain" linking nuclear curbs to economic revival. Amid a fragile ceasefire expiring soon and US military pressure, upcoming rounds via Omani mediation sustain momentum, outweighing sticking points on enrichment levels and proxy funding, with 20 months remaining for resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
거래량
$629,189종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Under the Trump administration, trader consensus prices a US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027 at 68.5% yes, driven by recent indirect talks in Islamabad where the US proposed a 20-year pause on Iran's uranium enrichment program in exchange for sanctions relief, as confirmed by multiple reports two days ago. President Trump stated Iran wants a peace deal "very badly" but insists on "no nukes," while Vice President JD Vance noted Tehran rejected terms after 21 hours of negotiations four days ago, yet signaled openness to a "grand bargain" linking nuclear curbs to economic revival. Amid a fragile ceasefire expiring soon and US military pressure, upcoming rounds via Omani mediation sustain momentum, outweighing sticking points on enrichment levels and proxy funding, with 20 months remaining for resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
거래량
$629,189종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Under the Trump administration, trader consensus prices a US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027 at 68.5% yes, driven by recent indirect talks in Islamabad where the US proposed a 20-year pause on Iran's uranium enrichment program in exchange for sanctions relief, as confirmed by multiple reports two days ago. President Trump stated Iran wants a peace deal "very badly" but insists on "no nukes," while Vice President JD Vance noted Tehran rejected terms after 21 hours of negotiations four days ago, yet signaled openness to a "grand bargain" linking nuclear curbs to economic revival. Amid a fragile ceasefire expiring soon and US military pressure, upcoming rounds via Omani mediation sustain momentum, outweighing sticking points on enrichment levels and proxy funding, with 20 months remaining for resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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