Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, including multiple rounds since 2025 mediated by Oman, Pakistan, Qatar, and others, have produced frameworks addressing Iran's nuclear enrichment, uranium stockpile dilution, verification measures, sanctions relief, and ceasefire extensions, including Strait of Hormuz access. These developments, combined with recent statements from US officials on reaching agreements before 2027 and Iran's engagement amid domestic and regional pressures, underpin the 95.5% trader consensus on a deal. Remaining variables such as exact enrichment timelines, IAEA access protocols, and sequencing of commitments could still delay resolution or alter outcomes if talks stall.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$2,344,394 거래량
$2,344,394 거래량
2026.12.31
$2,344,394 거래량
$2,344,394 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, including multiple rounds since 2025 mediated by Oman, Pakistan, Qatar, and others, have produced frameworks addressing Iran's nuclear enrichment, uranium stockpile dilution, verification measures, sanctions relief, and ceasefire extensions, including Strait of Hormuz access. These developments, combined with recent statements from US officials on reaching agreements before 2027 and Iran's engagement amid domestic and regional pressures, underpin the 95.5% trader consensus on a deal. Remaining variables such as exact enrichment timelines, IAEA access protocols, and sequencing of commitments could still delay resolution or alter outcomes if talks stall.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
거래량
$2,344,394종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, including multiple rounds since 2025 mediated by Oman, Pakistan, Qatar, and others, have produced frameworks addressing Iran's nuclear enrichment, uranium stockpile dilution, verification measures, sanctions relief, and ceasefire extensions, including Strait of Hormuz access. These developments, combined with recent statements from US officials on reaching agreements before 2027 and Iran's engagement amid domestic and regional pressures, underpin the 95.5% trader consensus on a deal. Remaining variables such as exact enrichment timelines, IAEA access protocols, and sequencing of commitments could still delay resolution or alter outcomes if talks stall.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
거래량
$2,344,394종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, including multiple rounds since 2025 mediated by Oman, Pakistan, Qatar, and others, have produced frameworks addressing Iran's nuclear enrichment, uranium stockpile dilution, verification measures, sanctions relief, and ceasefire extensions, including Strait of Hormuz access. These developments, combined with recent statements from US officials on reaching agreements before 2027 and Iran's engagement amid domestic and regional pressures, underpin the 95.5% trader consensus on a deal. Remaining variables such as exact enrichment timelines, IAEA access protocols, and sequencing of commitments could still delay resolution or alter outcomes if talks stall.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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