Diplomatic normalization with Israel typically requires extended bilateral negotiations, often linked to Palestinian statehood issues or broader regional security arrangements such as the Abraham Accords framework. As of February 2026, 163 UN member states already recognize Israel, leaving a core group of non-recognizers concentrated among Arab League and Organization of Islamic Cooperation members plus a few others. No official announcements or confirmed breakthroughs involving new recognitions have occurred in the past 30 days, and the 18-day window to June 30 leaves little room for procedural steps like foreign ministry statements or treaty ratifications. Trader consensus reflects these structural and timing barriers, with all listed outcomes priced below 5 percent. Scheduled diplomatic activity in the immediate term offers no clear catalyst for shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$433,284 거래량
북한
1%
쿠바
1%
사우디아라비아
1%
레바논
3%
아프가니스탄
1%
이라크
1%
파키스탄
1%
시리아
1%
베네수엘라
<1%
튀니지
1%
쿠웨이트
2%
카타르
1%
인도네시아
1%
말레이시아
<1%
방글라데시
1%
$433,284 거래량
북한
1%
쿠바
1%
사우디아라비아
1%
레바논
3%
아프가니스탄
1%
이라크
1%
파키스탄
1%
시리아
1%
베네수엘라
<1%
튀니지
1%
쿠웨이트
2%
카타르
1%
인도네시아
1%
말레이시아
<1%
방글라데시
1%
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic normalization with Israel typically requires extended bilateral negotiations, often linked to Palestinian statehood issues or broader regional security arrangements such as the Abraham Accords framework. As of February 2026, 163 UN member states already recognize Israel, leaving a core group of non-recognizers concentrated among Arab League and Organization of Islamic Cooperation members plus a few others. No official announcements or confirmed breakthroughs involving new recognitions have occurred in the past 30 days, and the 18-day window to June 30 leaves little room for procedural steps like foreign ministry statements or treaty ratifications. Trader consensus reflects these structural and timing barriers, with all listed outcomes priced below 5 percent. Scheduled diplomatic activity in the immediate term offers no clear catalyst for shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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