Israeli airstrikes persist in Gaza despite a U.S.-Iran ceasefire announced April 8 that excludes the enclave, fueling trader caution on major ground offensives as Hamas rejects disarmament plans linked to hostage releases. No large-scale IDF ground operation has launched in the past 30 days, with resources shifted to expanded offensives in southern Lebanon against Hezbollah strongholds like Bint Jbeil. Netanyahu's prior contingency plans for a Gaza City push, contingent on U.S. mediation failures, remain unactivated amid diplomatic pressures and humanitarian crises straining services. Upcoming Lebanon-Israel talks and UN probes into Gaza operations could tip escalation risks, reflecting crowded wisdom on constrained military bandwidth.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$512,799 거래량
2025.10.31
6월 30일
29%
12월 31일
47%
$512,799 거래량
6월 30일
$17,360 거래량
29%
12월 31일
$18,697 거래량
47%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli airstrikes persist in Gaza despite a U.S.-Iran ceasefire announced April 8 that excludes the enclave, fueling trader caution on major ground offensives as Hamas rejects disarmament plans linked to hostage releases. No large-scale IDF ground operation has launched in the past 30 days, with resources shifted to expanded offensives in southern Lebanon against Hezbollah strongholds like Bint Jbeil. Netanyahu's prior contingency plans for a Gaza City push, contingent on U.S. mediation failures, remain unactivated amid diplomatic pressures and humanitarian crises straining services. Upcoming Lebanon-Israel talks and UN probes into Gaza operations could tip escalation risks, reflecting crowded wisdom on constrained military bandwidth.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
거래량
$512,799종료일
2025.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli airstrikes persist in Gaza despite a U.S.-Iran ceasefire announced April 8 that excludes the enclave, fueling trader caution on major ground offensives as Hamas rejects disarmament plans linked to hostage releases. No large-scale IDF ground operation has launched in the past 30 days, with resources shifted to expanded offensives in southern Lebanon against Hezbollah strongholds like Bint Jbeil. Netanyahu's prior contingency plans for a Gaza City push, contingent on U.S. mediation failures, remain unactivated amid diplomatic pressures and humanitarian crises straining services. Upcoming Lebanon-Israel talks and UN probes into Gaza operations could tip escalation risks, reflecting crowded wisdom on constrained military bandwidth.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$512,799종료일
2025.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli airstrikes persist in Gaza despite a U.S.-Iran ceasefire announced April 8 that excludes the enclave, fueling trader caution on major ground offensives as Hamas rejects disarmament plans linked to hostage releases. No large-scale IDF ground operation has launched in the past 30 days, with resources shifted to expanded offensives in southern Lebanon against Hezbollah strongholds like Bint Jbeil. Netanyahu's prior contingency plans for a Gaza City push, contingent on U.S. mediation failures, remain unactivated amid diplomatic pressures and humanitarian crises straining services. Upcoming Lebanon-Israel talks and UN probes into Gaza operations could tip escalation risks, reflecting crowded wisdom on constrained military bandwidth.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문