US and Israeli forces conducted over 50 strikes on military targets at Iran's Kharg Island oil hub on April 7, hitting bunkers, radar stations, and weapons depots while explicitly sparing the oil terminal that handles 90% of Tehran's crude exports, according to Pentagon statements and satellite imagery. This follows President Trump's late-March threats to seize or obliterate the facility amid broader Iran war escalation involving missile barrages and naval blockades. No verified kinetic strike on the terminal itself has occurred despite explosions reported nearby, anchoring trader consensus at low implied probabilities for a hit by April 30 resolution. Diplomatic deadlines and potential ceasefire talks could de-escalate risks, though proxy attacks or retaliatory strikes remain uncertainties.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,976,228 거래량
2026.04.15
4월 15일
<1%
4월 30일
7%
$1,976,228 거래량
4월 15일
$795,182 거래량
<1%
4월 30일
$430,750 거래량
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli forces conducted over 50 strikes on military targets at Iran's Kharg Island oil hub on April 7, hitting bunkers, radar stations, and weapons depots while explicitly sparing the oil terminal that handles 90% of Tehran's crude exports, according to Pentagon statements and satellite imagery. This follows President Trump's late-March threats to seize or obliterate the facility amid broader Iran war escalation involving missile barrages and naval blockades. No verified kinetic strike on the terminal itself has occurred despite explosions reported nearby, anchoring trader consensus at low implied probabilities for a hit by April 30 resolution. Diplomatic deadlines and potential ceasefire talks could de-escalate risks, though proxy attacks or retaliatory strikes remain uncertainties.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Mar 30, 2026, 6:31 PM ET
거래량
$1,976,228종료일
2026.03.31마켓 개설일
Mar 30, 2026, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli forces conducted over 50 strikes on military targets at Iran's Kharg Island oil hub on April 7, hitting bunkers, radar stations, and weapons depots while explicitly sparing the oil terminal that handles 90% of Tehran's crude exports, according to Pentagon statements and satellite imagery. This follows President Trump's late-March threats to seize or obliterate the facility amid broader Iran war escalation involving missile barrages and naval blockades. No verified kinetic strike on the terminal itself has occurred despite explosions reported nearby, anchoring trader consensus at low implied probabilities for a hit by April 30 resolution. Diplomatic deadlines and potential ceasefire talks could de-escalate risks, though proxy attacks or retaliatory strikes remain uncertainties.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$1,976,228종료일
2026.03.31마켓 개설일
Mar 30, 2026, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and Israeli forces conducted over 50 strikes on military targets at Iran's Kharg Island oil hub on April 7, hitting bunkers, radar stations, and weapons depots while explicitly sparing the oil terminal that handles 90% of Tehran's crude exports, according to Pentagon statements and satellite imagery. This follows President Trump's late-March threats to seize or obliterate the facility amid broader Iran war escalation involving missile barrages and naval blockades. No verified kinetic strike on the terminal itself has occurred despite explosions reported nearby, anchoring trader consensus at low implied probabilities for a hit by April 30 resolution. Diplomatic deadlines and potential ceasefire talks could de-escalate risks, though proxy attacks or retaliatory strikes remain uncertainties.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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