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정치·중동

다음 선거 후 차기 이스라엘 총리는 누가 될까요?

Market icon
정치·중동

다음 선거 후 차기 이스라엘 총리는 누가 될까요?

베냐민 네타냐후 45%

나프탈리 베네트 27%

가디 아이젠코트 19.3%

야이르 라피드 2.5%

Polymarket

$4,709,273 거래량

베냐민 네타냐후 45%

나프탈리 베네트 27%

가디 아이젠코트 19.3%

야이르 라피드 2.5%

Polymarket

$4,709,273 거래량

베냐민 네타냐후

$526,648 거래량

45%

나프탈리 베네트

$963,238 거래량

27%

가디 아이젠코트

$534,565 거래량

19%

야이르 라피드

$324,752 거래량

3%

야리브 레빈

$142,691 거래량

1%

베니 간츠

$189,523 거래량

1%

아비그도르 리버만

$371,392 거래량

1%

이타마르 벤 그비르

$140,110 거래량

1%

야이르 골란

$264,095 거래량

1%

요시 코헨

$378,112 거래량

1%

이스라엘 카츠

$19,390 거래량

1%

기디온 사아르

$392,839 거래량

<1%

니르 바르캇

$14,902 거래량

<1%

아예렛 샤케드

$97,400 거래량

<1%

아미르 오하나

$22,865 거래량

<1%

모셰 페이글린

$271,630 거래량

<1%

요아즈 헨델

$56,771 거래량

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Benjamin Netanyahu at 44.5% implied probability to remain prime minister after the Knesset election by October 27, 2026, reflecting his persistent lead in recent prime ministerial preference polls around 44-52%, bolstered by Likud's stable base amid ongoing multi-front conflicts including Hezbollah escalations. Naftali Bennett trails at 27%, consolidating right-wing opposition support as polls show his party climbing to 22 seats in a Channel 12 survey last week, positioning him as the primary alternative. Gadi Eizenkot's 19.3% reflects his recent surge, overtaking Bennett in March-April surveys like Channel 12 and Channel 14, driven by his ex-IDF chief credentials appealing to centrists amid Netanyahu coalition slips to 60 seats and judicial overhaul tensions. No bloc holds a clear majority, heightening coalition negotiation risks.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$4,709,273
종료일
2026.12.31
마켓 개설일
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Benjamin Netanyahu at 44.5% implied probability to remain prime minister after the Knesset election by October 27, 2026, reflecting his persistent lead in recent prime ministerial preference polls around 44-52%, bolstered by Likud's stable base amid ongoing multi-front conflicts including Hezbollah escalations. Naftali Bennett trails at 27%, consolidating right-wing opposition support as polls show his party climbing to 22 seats in a Channel 12 survey last week, positioning him as the primary alternative. Gadi Eizenkot's 19.3% reflects his recent surge, overtaking Bennett in March-April surveys like Channel 12 and Channel 14, driven by his ex-IDF chief credentials appealing to centrists amid Netanyahu coalition slips to 60 seats and judicial overhaul tensions. No bloc holds a clear majority, heightening coalition negotiation risks.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$4,709,273
종료일
2026.12.31
마켓 개설일
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"다음 선거 후 차기 이스라엘 총리는 누가 될까요?"은 17개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 45%의 "베냐민 네타냐후"이며, 이어서 27%의 "나프탈리 베네트"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 45¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 45%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "다음 선거 후 차기 이스라엘 총리는 누가 될까요?"은 총 $4.7 million의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Nov 15, 2025에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"다음 선거 후 차기 이스라엘 총리는 누가 될까요?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 17개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"다음 선거 후 차기 이스라엘 총리는 누가 될까요?"의 현재 유력 후보는 45%의 "베냐민 네타냐후"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 45%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 27%의 "나프탈리 베네트"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"다음 선거 후 차기 이스라엘 총리는 누가 될까요?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.