Amid fragile ceasefire talks following U.S.-Israel strikes on Iranian nuclear sites, trader consensus prices a 58.5% chance of Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by June 30, driven by recent diplomatic signals. On April 8, the White House stated Iran indicated willingness to turn over its enriched uranium stockpiles, while President Trump reiterated demands for no future enrichment as part of sanctions relief. Despite Iran's rejection of a full halt reported April 13 and insistence on enrichment rights under the Non-Proliferation Treaty, officials are planning a second round of indirect negotiations soon, with IAEA verification challenges post-2025 attacks adding urgency. Odds reflect optimism for a deal before the deadline, though enrichment remains the core sticking point.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$437,102 거래량
$437,102 거래량
2026.06.30
예
$437,102 거래량
$437,102 거래량
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Amid fragile ceasefire talks following U.S.-Israel strikes on Iranian nuclear sites, trader consensus prices a 58.5% chance of Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by June 30, driven by recent diplomatic signals. On April 8, the White House stated Iran indicated willingness to turn over its enriched uranium stockpiles, while President Trump reiterated demands for no future enrichment as part of sanctions relief. Despite Iran's rejection of a full halt reported April 13 and insistence on enrichment rights under the Non-Proliferation Treaty, officials are planning a second round of indirect negotiations soon, with IAEA verification challenges post-2025 attacks adding urgency. Odds reflect optimism for a deal before the deadline, though enrichment remains the core sticking point.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
거래량
$437,102종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Amid fragile ceasefire talks following U.S.-Israel strikes on Iranian nuclear sites, trader consensus prices a 58.5% chance of Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by June 30, driven by recent diplomatic signals. On April 8, the White House stated Iran indicated willingness to turn over its enriched uranium stockpiles, while President Trump reiterated demands for no future enrichment as part of sanctions relief. Despite Iran's rejection of a full halt reported April 13 and insistence on enrichment rights under the Non-Proliferation Treaty, officials are planning a second round of indirect negotiations soon, with IAEA verification challenges post-2025 attacks adding urgency. Odds reflect optimism for a deal before the deadline, though enrichment remains the core sticking point.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$437,102종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid fragile ceasefire talks following U.S.-Israel strikes on Iranian nuclear sites, trader consensus prices a 58.5% chance of Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by June 30, driven by recent diplomatic signals. On April 8, the White House stated Iran indicated willingness to turn over its enriched uranium stockpiles, while President Trump reiterated demands for no future enrichment as part of sanctions relief. Despite Iran's rejection of a full halt reported April 13 and insistence on enrichment rights under the Non-Proliferation Treaty, officials are planning a second round of indirect negotiations soon, with IAEA verification challenges post-2025 attacks adding urgency. Odds reflect optimism for a deal before the deadline, though enrichment remains the core sticking point.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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