Polymarket traders show a razor-thin trader consensus for the Bank of Korea's July 2026 decision, with no-change at 49% implied probability narrowly ahead of a rate increase at 42%, while a cut lags at 17.5%, reflecting data-dependent positioning after the BOK's April 10 unanimous hold at 2.50% benchmark rate. March 2026 CPI rose to 2.2% year-over-year—below 2.4% forecasts but up from February's 2.0%—amid robust semiconductor exports lifting the 2026 GDP outlook to 2.0%, yet tempered by core inflation easing to 2.2% and Hormuz Strait risks clouding energy prices. Key differentiators include April CPI and Q1 GDP releases ahead of May and July meetings, with analysts split on whether persistent inflation pressures outweigh geopolitical buffers for a hike.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Bank of Korea decision in July?
Bank of Korea decision in July?
No Change 46%
Increase 40%
Decrease 15%
$10,069 거래량
$10,069 거래량
Decrease
15%
No Change
46%
Increase
40%
No Change 46%
Increase 40%
Decrease 15%
$10,069 거래량
$10,069 거래량
Decrease
15%
No Change
46%
Increase
40%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders show a razor-thin trader consensus for the Bank of Korea's July 2026 decision, with no-change at 49% implied probability narrowly ahead of a rate increase at 42%, while a cut lags at 17.5%, reflecting data-dependent positioning after the BOK's April 10 unanimous hold at 2.50% benchmark rate. March 2026 CPI rose to 2.2% year-over-year—below 2.4% forecasts but up from February's 2.0%—amid robust semiconductor exports lifting the 2026 GDP outlook to 2.0%, yet tempered by core inflation easing to 2.2% and Hormuz Strait risks clouding energy prices. Key differentiators include April CPI and Q1 GDP releases ahead of May and July meetings, with analysts split on whether persistent inflation pressures outweigh geopolitical buffers for a hike.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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