Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 35% probability for below 40mm total precipitation in Seoul for April 2026, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations showing exceptionally dry conditions through mid-month, with minimal rainfall accumulation well under the climatological average of 65-75mm spread over about 8 rainy days. Persistent high-pressure systems have suppressed moisture inflow and storm development, as reflected in recent KMA short-range forecasts indicating low precipitation probabilities (often under 30%) for the coming days. Secondary odds on 65-70mm (15.5%) account for potential late-month showers typical in spring transition patterns, though model consensus favors subdued totals; monitor KMA daily updates and extended outlooks through April 30 for shifts amid inherent seasonal uncertainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월에 서울에 강수량이 있나요?
4월에 서울에 강수량이 있나요?
40mm 미만 40%
65-70mm 16%
55-60mm 8%
45-50mm 7.4%
$16,660 거래량
$16,660 거래량
2026.04.30
40mm 미만
40%
40-45mm
12%
45-50mm
7%
50-55mm
10%
55-60mm
8%
60-65mm
5%
65-70mm
16%
70-75mm
2%
75mm+
9%
40mm 미만 40%
65-70mm 16%
55-60mm 8%
45-50mm 7.4%
$16,660 거래량
$16,660 거래량
2026.04.30
40mm 미만
$10,637 거래량
40%
40-45mm
$250 거래량
12%
45-50mm
$255 거래량
7%
50-55mm
$1,694 거래량
10%
55-60mm
$2,352 거래량
8%
60-65mm
$182 거래량
5%
65-70mm
$393 거래량
16%
70-75mm
$211 거래량
2%
75mm+
$688 거래량
9%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 35% probability for below 40mm total precipitation in Seoul for April 2026, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations showing exceptionally dry conditions through mid-month, with minimal rainfall accumulation well under the climatological average of 65-75mm spread over about 8 rainy days. Persistent high-pressure systems have suppressed moisture inflow and storm development, as reflected in recent KMA short-range forecasts indicating low precipitation probabilities (often under 30%) for the coming days. Secondary odds on 65-70mm (15.5%) account for potential late-month showers typical in spring transition patterns, though model consensus favors subdued totals; monitor KMA daily updates and extended outlooks through April 30 for shifts amid inherent seasonal uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
거래량
$16,660종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 35% probability for below 40mm total precipitation in Seoul for April 2026, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations showing exceptionally dry conditions through mid-month, with minimal rainfall accumulation well under the climatological average of 65-75mm spread over about 8 rainy days. Persistent high-pressure systems have suppressed moisture inflow and storm development, as reflected in recent KMA short-range forecasts indicating low precipitation probabilities (often under 30%) for the coming days. Secondary odds on 65-70mm (15.5%) account for potential late-month showers typical in spring transition patterns, though model consensus favors subdued totals; monitor KMA daily updates and extended outlooks through April 30 for shifts amid inherent seasonal uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$16,660종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 35% probability for below 40mm total precipitation in Seoul for April 2026, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations showing exceptionally dry conditions through mid-month, with minimal rainfall accumulation well under the climatological average of 65-75mm spread over about 8 rainy days. Persistent high-pressure systems have suppressed moisture inflow and storm development, as reflected in recent KMA short-range forecasts indicating low precipitation probabilities (often under 30%) for the coming days. Secondary odds on 65-70mm (15.5%) account for potential late-month showers typical in spring transition patterns, though model consensus favors subdued totals; monitor KMA daily updates and extended outlooks through April 30 for shifts amid inherent seasonal uncertainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문