With only 60mm of rainfall accumulated at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 13—driven largely by a single 45.1mm downpour on April 5—traders favor sub-130mm totals at 32.5% implied probability, reflecting a dry first half amid below-normal early precipitation. Yet the race stays tight with 130-140mm (26.5%) and 140-150mm (23%) close behind, as April marks the onset of Hong Kong's rainy season, backed by HKO's normal to above-normal seasonal rainfall outlook and forecasts of increasing showers from southerly winds. A prolonged dry spell could lock in low bins, while incoming troughs, thunderstorms, or early tropical disturbances might boost late-month totals, creating separation before April 30 resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월에 홍콩에 강수량이 있나요?
4월에 홍콩에 강수량이 있나요?
130mm 미만 31%
140-150mm 24%
130-140mm 23%
150-160mm 17%
$28,649 거래량
$28,649 거래량
2026.04.30
130mm 미만
31%
130-140mm
22%
140-150mm
24%
150-160mm
17%
160-170mm
4%
190-200mm
2%
180-190
3%
190mm+
11%
130mm 미만 31%
140-150mm 24%
130-140mm 23%
150-160mm 17%
$28,649 거래량
$28,649 거래량
2026.04.30
130mm 미만
$13,233 거래량
31%
130-140mm
$5,198 거래량
22%
140-150mm
$5,687 거래량
24%
150-160mm
$3,218 거래량
17%
160-170mm
$247 거래량
4%
190-200mm
$199 거래량
2%
180-190
$211 거래량
3%
190mm+
$658 거래량
11%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.With only 60mm of rainfall accumulated at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 13—driven largely by a single 45.1mm downpour on April 5—traders favor sub-130mm totals at 32.5% implied probability, reflecting a dry first half amid below-normal early precipitation. Yet the race stays tight with 130-140mm (26.5%) and 140-150mm (23%) close behind, as April marks the onset of Hong Kong's rainy season, backed by HKO's normal to above-normal seasonal rainfall outlook and forecasts of increasing showers from southerly winds. A prolonged dry spell could lock in low bins, while incoming troughs, thunderstorms, or early tropical disturbances might boost late-month totals, creating separation before April 30 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
거래량
$28,649종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.With only 60mm of rainfall accumulated at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 13—driven largely by a single 45.1mm downpour on April 5—traders favor sub-130mm totals at 32.5% implied probability, reflecting a dry first half amid below-normal early precipitation. Yet the race stays tight with 130-140mm (26.5%) and 140-150mm (23%) close behind, as April marks the onset of Hong Kong's rainy season, backed by HKO's normal to above-normal seasonal rainfall outlook and forecasts of increasing showers from southerly winds. A prolonged dry spell could lock in low bins, while incoming troughs, thunderstorms, or early tropical disturbances might boost late-month totals, creating separation before April 30 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$28,649종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With only 60mm of rainfall accumulated at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 13—driven largely by a single 45.1mm downpour on April 5—traders favor sub-130mm totals at 32.5% implied probability, reflecting a dry first half amid below-normal early precipitation. Yet the race stays tight with 130-140mm (26.5%) and 140-150mm (23%) close behind, as April marks the onset of Hong Kong's rainy season, backed by HKO's normal to above-normal seasonal rainfall outlook and forecasts of increasing showers from southerly winds. A prolonged dry spell could lock in low bins, while incoming troughs, thunderstorms, or early tropical disturbances might boost late-month totals, creating separation before April 30 resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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