Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party Rep. Chun Jae-soo at 80% implied probability to win Busan's June 3 mayoral election, driven by post-nomination polls showing him leading incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon by 10 points or more, such as a recent JTBC survey at 45%-35%. Chun secured the Democratic primary on April 9 over Rep. Lee Jae-sung, while Park won his party's nomination on April 11 for a third term; Chun's clearance in a bribery probe last week further bolstered his momentum amid national Democratic gains in battleground races. Park warns of Democratic dominance risks, but polls reflect voter shifts in this conservative stronghold; upcoming debates and early voting could narrow the gap before election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2026년 부산시장 선거 당선자
2026년 부산시장 선거 당선자
천제수 80%
박형준 18%
조국 <1%
김도읍 <1%
$396,260 거래량
$396,260 거래량
2026.06.03
천제수
80%
박형준
18%
조국
1%
김도읍
<1%
박성훈
<1%
홍순헌
<1%
조경태
<1%
최인호
<1%
이재성
<1%
김영춘
<1%
박재호
<1%
서병수
<1%
천제수 80%
박형준 18%
조국 <1%
김도읍 <1%
$396,260 거래량
$396,260 거래량
2026.06.03
천제수
$34,342 거래량
80%
박형준
$15,114 거래량
18%
조국
$136,109 거래량
1%
김도읍
$13,269 거래량
<1%
박성훈
$6,396 거래량
<1%
홍순헌
$6,195 거래량
<1%
조경태
$9,169 거래량
<1%
최인호
$35,145 거래량
<1%
이재성
$6,778 거래량
<1%
김영춘
$9,593 거래량
<1%
박재호
$6,381 거래량
<1%
서병수
$117,770 거래량
<1%
The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party Rep. Chun Jae-soo at 80% implied probability to win Busan's June 3 mayoral election, driven by post-nomination polls showing him leading incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon by 10 points or more, such as a recent JTBC survey at 45%-35%. Chun secured the Democratic primary on April 9 over Rep. Lee Jae-sung, while Park won his party's nomination on April 11 for a third term; Chun's clearance in a bribery probe last week further bolstered his momentum amid national Democratic gains in battleground races. Park warns of Democratic dominance risks, but polls reflect voter shifts in this conservative stronghold; upcoming debates and early voting could narrow the gap before election day.
The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
마켓 개설일: Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ET
거래량
$396,260종료일
2026.06.03마켓 개설일
Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party Rep. Chun Jae-soo at 80% implied probability to win Busan's June 3 mayoral election, driven by post-nomination polls showing him leading incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon by 10 points or more, such as a recent JTBC survey at 45%-35%. Chun secured the Democratic primary on April 9 over Rep. Lee Jae-sung, while Park won his party's nomination on April 11 for a third term; Chun's clearance in a bribery probe last week further bolstered his momentum amid national Democratic gains in battleground races. Park warns of Democratic dominance risks, but polls reflect voter shifts in this conservative stronghold; upcoming debates and early voting could narrow the gap before election day.
The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
거래량
$396,260종료일
2026.06.03마켓 개설일
Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party Rep. Chun Jae-soo at 80% implied probability to win Busan's June 3 mayoral election, driven by post-nomination polls showing him leading incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon by 10 points or more, such as a recent JTBC survey at 45%-35%. Chun secured the Democratic primary on April 9 over Rep. Lee Jae-sung, while Park won his party's nomination on April 11 for a third term; Chun's clearance in a bribery probe last week further bolstered his momentum amid national Democratic gains in battleground races. Park warns of Democratic dominance risks, but polls reflect voter shifts in this conservative stronghold; upcoming debates and early voting could narrow the gap before election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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