Labour's Rowenna Davis leads trader consensus at 62.5% implied probability to win the Croydon mayoral election on May 7, driven by recent analyses projecting her at 25% amid splintered vote shares across multiple parties, weakening the Conservative incumbent Jason Perry's path despite his record stabilizing borough finances post-Labour bankruptcy. Green's Peter Underwood at 17.3% benefits from recent by-election gains and protest sentiment on issues like the Middle East conflict, while Perry at 16.5% faces vote erosion to Reform UK's Ben Flook. Davis's April 13 manifesto launch emphasized crime reduction, housing, and town centre regeneration, though criticized for lacking costings; postal votes dispatch imminently could sway the closely contested outcome in this first-past-the-post race.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Rowenna Davis 63%
Peter Underwood 17.3%
Jason Perry 17%
Jose Joseph 1.4%
$18,031 거래량
$18,031 거래량
Rowenna Davis
63%
Peter Underwood
17%
Jason Perry
17%
Jose Joseph
1%
Ben Flook
<1%
Michael Pusey
<1%
Richard Howard
<1%
Rowenna Davis 63%
Peter Underwood 17.3%
Jason Perry 17%
Jose Joseph 1.4%
$18,031 거래량
$18,031 거래량
Rowenna Davis
63%
Peter Underwood
17%
Jason Perry
17%
Jose Joseph
1%
Ben Flook
<1%
Michael Pusey
<1%
Richard Howard
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.
마켓 개설일: Apr 6, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Labour's Rowenna Davis leads trader consensus at 62.5% implied probability to win the Croydon mayoral election on May 7, driven by recent analyses projecting her at 25% amid splintered vote shares across multiple parties, weakening the Conservative incumbent Jason Perry's path despite his record stabilizing borough finances post-Labour bankruptcy. Green's Peter Underwood at 17.3% benefits from recent by-election gains and protest sentiment on issues like the Middle East conflict, while Perry at 16.5% faces vote erosion to Reform UK's Ben Flook. Davis's April 13 manifesto launch emphasized crime reduction, housing, and town centre regeneration, though criticized for lacking costings; postal votes dispatch imminently could sway the closely contested outcome in this first-past-the-post race.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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