Trader consensus favors Caroline Elliott at 43.5% implied probability to win the Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership on May 30, driven by March Mainstreet and Angus Reid polls showing her narrow edge over Peter Milobar (29%) among party members as the best to defeat the NDP next election, bolstered by endorsements from dropouts like Harman Bhangu, Darrell Jones, and Kerry-Lynne Findlay's ex-manager David Denhoff. Recent debate absences by both frontrunners at the April 8 Juno News event drew backlash but failed to shift odds significantly, while Iain Black (13%) gained from James Moore's April 14 endorsement highlighting his cabinet experience. With membership cutoff tomorrow (April 18) and voting via preferential ballot starting May 9, five candidates remain after Warren Hamm's April 12 exit endorsing Yuri Fulmer (7.2%).
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트캐롤라인 엘리엇 44%
피터 밀로바르 29%
이안 블랙 13.0%
유리 풀머 7.3%
$27,493 거래량
$27,493 거래량
2026.05.30
캐롤라인 엘리엇
44%
피터 밀로바르
29%
이안 블랙
13%
유리 풀머
7%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay
5%
하르만 방구
1%
브루스 밴맨
<1%
워렌 햄
<1%
대럴 존스
<1%
캐롤라인 엘리엇 44%
피터 밀로바르 29%
이안 블랙 13.0%
유리 풀머 7.3%
$27,493 거래량
$27,493 거래량
2026.05.30
캐롤라인 엘리엇
$7,313 거래량
44%
피터 밀로바르
$3,239 거래량
29%
이안 블랙
$3,066 거래량
13%
유리 풀머
$5,781 거래량
7%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay
$1,839 거래량
5%
하르만 방구
$1,718 거래량
1%
브루스 밴맨
$2,264 거래량
<1%
워렌 햄
$1,157 거래량
<1%
대럴 존스
$1,251 거래량
<1%
The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.Trader consensus favors Caroline Elliott at 43.5% implied probability to win the Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership on May 30, driven by March Mainstreet and Angus Reid polls showing her narrow edge over Peter Milobar (29%) among party members as the best to defeat the NDP next election, bolstered by endorsements from dropouts like Harman Bhangu, Darrell Jones, and Kerry-Lynne Findlay's ex-manager David Denhoff. Recent debate absences by both frontrunners at the April 8 Juno News event drew backlash but failed to shift odds significantly, while Iain Black (13%) gained from James Moore's April 14 endorsement highlighting his cabinet experience. With membership cutoff tomorrow (April 18) and voting via preferential ballot starting May 9, five candidates remain after Warren Hamm's April 12 exit endorsing Yuri Fulmer (7.2%).
The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
마켓 개설일: Apr 6, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
거래량
$27,493종료일
2026.05.30마켓 개설일
Apr 6, 2026, 7:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.Trader consensus favors Caroline Elliott at 43.5% implied probability to win the Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership on May 30, driven by March Mainstreet and Angus Reid polls showing her narrow edge over Peter Milobar (29%) among party members as the best to defeat the NDP next election, bolstered by endorsements from dropouts like Harman Bhangu, Darrell Jones, and Kerry-Lynne Findlay's ex-manager David Denhoff. Recent debate absences by both frontrunners at the April 8 Juno News event drew backlash but failed to shift odds significantly, while Iain Black (13%) gained from James Moore's April 14 endorsement highlighting his cabinet experience. With membership cutoff tomorrow (April 18) and voting via preferential ballot starting May 9, five candidates remain after Warren Hamm's April 12 exit endorsing Yuri Fulmer (7.2%).
The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
거래량
$27,493종료일
2026.05.30마켓 개설일
Apr 6, 2026, 7:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Caroline Elliott at 43.5% implied probability to win the Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership on May 30, driven by March Mainstreet and Angus Reid polls showing her narrow edge over Peter Milobar (29%) among party members as the best to defeat the NDP next election, bolstered by endorsements from dropouts like Harman Bhangu, Darrell Jones, and Kerry-Lynne Findlay's ex-manager David Denhoff. Recent debate absences by both frontrunners at the April 8 Juno News event drew backlash but failed to shift odds significantly, while Iain Black (13%) gained from James Moore's April 14 endorsement highlighting his cabinet experience. With membership cutoff tomorrow (April 18) and voting via preferential ballot starting May 9, five candidates remain after Warren Hamm's April 12 exit endorsing Yuri Fulmer (7.2%).
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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