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정치·캐나다

토론토 시장 선거 당선자

Market icon
정치·캐나다

토론토 시장 선거 당선자

Olivia Chow 78%

Brad Bradford 11%

Ana Bailão 6%

Kevin Clarke 2.7%

Polymarket
신규

Olivia Chow 78%

Brad Bradford 11%

Ana Bailão 6%

Kevin Clarke 2.7%

Polymarket
신규
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Olivia Chow

$4,116 거래량

78%

Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Brad Bradford

$715 거래량

11%

Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Ana Bailão

$1,977 거래량

6%

Will Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Kevin Clarke

$383 거래량

3%

Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

John Tory

$311 거래량

2%

Will Michael Ford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Michael Ford

$1,031 거래량

2%

Will Anthony Furey win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Anthony Furey

$410 거래량

1%

Will Marco Mendicino win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? icon

Marco Mendicino

$331 거래량

<1%

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow commands 78% trader consensus for the October 26, 2026 Toronto municipal election, driven by her strong incumbency advantage and recent polls showing commanding leads after former Mayor John Tory's March 3 announcement ruling out a comeback. Liaison Strategies' March 10 survey placed Chow at 44% against Coun. Brad Bradford's 26% and MPP Michael Ford's 16%, with 55% approval for her administration amid focus on affordability and transit. Bradford at 11% reflects his active campaign as the leading challenger, polling competitively in head-to-heads but trailing in multi-candidate fields. Ana Bailão's 6% stems from her 2023 runner-up status, though her federal housing role limits visibility, while others linger on name recognition amid undecided voters.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
거래량
$9,275
종료일
2026.10.26
마켓 개설일
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow commands 78% trader consensus for the October 26, 2026 Toronto municipal election, driven by her strong incumbency advantage and recent polls showing commanding leads after former Mayor John Tory's March 3 announcement ruling out a comeback. Liaison Strategies' March 10 survey placed Chow at 44% against Coun. Brad Bradford's 26% and MPP Michael Ford's 16%, with 55% approval for her administration amid focus on affordability and transit. Bradford at 11% reflects his active campaign as the leading challenger, polling competitively in head-to-heads but trailing in multi-candidate fields. Ana Bailão's 6% stems from her 2023 runner-up status, though her federal housing role limits visibility, while others linger on name recognition amid undecided voters.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
거래량
$9,275
종료일
2026.10.26
마켓 개설일
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"토론토 시장 선거 당선자"은 8개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 78%의 "Olivia Chow"이며, 이어서 11%의 "Brad Bradford"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 78¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 78%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"토론토 시장 선거 당선자"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, Apr 1, 2026에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"토론토 시장 선거 당선자"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 8개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"토론토 시장 선거 당선자"의 현재 유력 후보는 78%의 "Olivia Chow"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 78%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 11%의 "Brad Bradford"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"토론토 시장 선거 당선자"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.