The extended timeline to the 2028 Republican presidential nomination keeps the vice-presidential field unusually fluid, with no candidate exceeding 24 percent in current trader pricing and the top four— Ivanka Trump, Marco Rubio, Rand Paul, and Joe Kent—separated by just over three points. This narrow spread reflects broad uncertainty over the eventual presidential nominee, the influence of midterms and primary dynamics on party coalitions, and the absence of binding commitments or endorsements that would consolidate support. Historical patterns show vice-presidential selections often hinge on geographic balance, Senate confirmation considerations, and last-minute strategic needs rather than early positioning. Key upcoming catalysts include 2026 midterm results, potential cabinet or Senate maneuvers, and any early signals from leading presidential contenders that could shift implied probabilities in the coming months.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Marco Rubio 23%
Kim Kardashian 10.2%
J.D. Vance 10%
Rand Paul 7.0%
$13,822 거래량
$13,822 거래량
Donald Trump
6%
J.D. Vance
10%
Marco Rubio
23%
Tulsi Gabbard
3%
Glenn Youngkin
3%
Donald Trump Jr.
4%
Ron DeSantis
5%
Nikki Haley
4%
Vivek Ramaswamy
2%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Greg Abbott
4%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
4%
Brian Kemp
4%
Byron Donalds
2%
Elise Stefanik
2%
Josh Hawley
5%
Ted Cruz
4%
Elon Musk
4%
Matt Gaetz
4%
Katie Britt
2%
John Thune
1%
Kristi Noem
7%
Mike Pence
3%
Tucker Carlson
1%
Ivanka Trump
24%
Tom Brady
4%
Rand Paul
16%
Steve Bannon
1%
Erika Kirk
1%
Kim Kardashian
10%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
11%
Thomas Massie
4%
Eric Trump
16%
Joe Kent
24%
Pete Hegseth
5%
Marco Rubio 23%
Kim Kardashian 10.2%
J.D. Vance 10%
Rand Paul 7.0%
$13,822 거래량
$13,822 거래량
Donald Trump
6%
J.D. Vance
10%
Marco Rubio
23%
Tulsi Gabbard
3%
Glenn Youngkin
3%
Donald Trump Jr.
4%
Ron DeSantis
5%
Nikki Haley
4%
Vivek Ramaswamy
2%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Greg Abbott
4%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
4%
Brian Kemp
4%
Byron Donalds
2%
Elise Stefanik
2%
Josh Hawley
5%
Ted Cruz
4%
Elon Musk
4%
Matt Gaetz
4%
Katie Britt
2%
John Thune
1%
Kristi Noem
7%
Mike Pence
3%
Tucker Carlson
1%
Ivanka Trump
24%
Tom Brady
4%
Rand Paul
16%
Steve Bannon
1%
Erika Kirk
1%
Kim Kardashian
10%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
11%
Thomas Massie
4%
Eric Trump
16%
Joe Kent
24%
Pete Hegseth
5%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The extended timeline to the 2028 Republican presidential nomination keeps the vice-presidential field unusually fluid, with no candidate exceeding 24 percent in current trader pricing and the top four— Ivanka Trump, Marco Rubio, Rand Paul, and Joe Kent—separated by just over three points. This narrow spread reflects broad uncertainty over the eventual presidential nominee, the influence of midterms and primary dynamics on party coalitions, and the absence of binding commitments or endorsements that would consolidate support. Historical patterns show vice-presidential selections often hinge on geographic balance, Senate confirmation considerations, and last-minute strategic needs rather than early positioning. Key upcoming catalysts include 2026 midterm results, potential cabinet or Senate maneuvers, and any early signals from leading presidential contenders that could shift implied probabilities in the coming months.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문