Civil Contract's dominant 89.5% implied probability in the Armenia parliamentary election market on June 7 reflects recent voter surveys, including EVN Report's April 6 poll showing the incumbent party strengthening its lead as undecided voters—previously around 30%—shift support amid economic agenda rollouts and campaign rallies. Opposition fragmentation across 21 parties and alliances, many unlikely to meet the 5% proportional representation threshold, bolsters trader consensus on a Civil Contract victory, potentially securing a constitutional majority. Key challengers like Armenia Alliance trail far behind due to divided vote shares, with candidate registrations closing April 23 ahead of intensified campaigning. While geopolitical tensions persist, domestic polling trends drive the lopsided pricing.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트시빌 컨트랙트 90%
아르메니아 동맹 6%
헤리티지 2.4%
아르메니아 국민회의 1.8%
$103,360 거래량
$103,360 거래량
2026.06.07
시빌 컨트랙트
90%
아르메니아 동맹
6%
헤리티지
2%
아르메니아 국민회의
2%
번영하는 아르메니아
2%
오리나츠 예르키르
2%
한라페투튠당
1%
밝은 아르메니아
1%
명예 동맹
<1%
시빌 컨트랙트 90%
아르메니아 동맹 6%
헤리티지 2.4%
아르메니아 국민회의 1.8%
$103,360 거래량
$103,360 거래량
2026.06.07
시빌 컨트랙트
$41,427 거래량
90%
아르메니아 동맹
$49,639 거래량
6%
헤리티지
$1,761 거래량
2%
아르메니아 국민회의
$2,006 거래량
2%
번영하는 아르메니아
$1,554 거래량
2%
오리나츠 예르키르
$1,807 거래량
2%
한라페투튠당
$1,484 거래량
1%
밝은 아르메니아
$2,278 거래량
1%
명예 동맹
$1,405 거래량
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's dominant 89.5% implied probability in the Armenia parliamentary election market on June 7 reflects recent voter surveys, including EVN Report's April 6 poll showing the incumbent party strengthening its lead as undecided voters—previously around 30%—shift support amid economic agenda rollouts and campaign rallies. Opposition fragmentation across 21 parties and alliances, many unlikely to meet the 5% proportional representation threshold, bolsters trader consensus on a Civil Contract victory, potentially securing a constitutional majority. Key challengers like Armenia Alliance trail far behind due to divided vote shares, with candidate registrations closing April 23 ahead of intensified campaigning. While geopolitical tensions persist, domestic polling trends drive the lopsided pricing.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
거래량
$103,360종료일
2026.06.07마켓 개설일
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's dominant 89.5% implied probability in the Armenia parliamentary election market on June 7 reflects recent voter surveys, including EVN Report's April 6 poll showing the incumbent party strengthening its lead as undecided voters—previously around 30%—shift support amid economic agenda rollouts and campaign rallies. Opposition fragmentation across 21 parties and alliances, many unlikely to meet the 5% proportional representation threshold, bolsters trader consensus on a Civil Contract victory, potentially securing a constitutional majority. Key challengers like Armenia Alliance trail far behind due to divided vote shares, with candidate registrations closing April 23 ahead of intensified campaigning. While geopolitical tensions persist, domestic polling trends drive the lopsided pricing.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
거래량
$103,360종료일
2026.06.07마켓 개설일
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Civil Contract's dominant 89.5% implied probability in the Armenia parliamentary election market on June 7 reflects recent voter surveys, including EVN Report's April 6 poll showing the incumbent party strengthening its lead as undecided voters—previously around 30%—shift support amid economic agenda rollouts and campaign rallies. Opposition fragmentation across 21 parties and alliances, many unlikely to meet the 5% proportional representation threshold, bolsters trader consensus on a Civil Contract victory, potentially securing a constitutional majority. Key challengers like Armenia Alliance trail far behind due to divided vote shares, with candidate registrations closing April 23 ahead of intensified campaigning. While geopolitical tensions persist, domestic polling trends drive the lopsided pricing.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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