Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors passage of Virginia's redistricting referendum at 85.5% for Yes, diverging notably from recent polls showing narrow leads like State Navigate's 51% Yes (April 13-15) and Washington Post-Schar School's 52-47 among likely voters. This optimism stems from Democrats' massive fundraising advantage—outspending Republicans 44-to-1 with millions from groups like House Majority Forward—fueling ad blitzes ahead of the April 21 special election. Early voting turnout has surged in Democratic Northern Virginia strongholds, while GOP areas show solid but lower participation through April 18. The Supreme Court of Virginia's February clearance enabled the ballot measure to amend the constitution for mid-decade congressional map redraws, with Yes campaigns emphasizing "fairness" despite partisan gerrymandering critiques from opponents.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$427,554 거래량
$427,554 거래량
2026.04.21
예
$427,554 거래량
$427,554 거래량
2026.04.21
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors passage of Virginia's redistricting referendum at 85.5% for Yes, diverging notably from recent polls showing narrow leads like State Navigate's 51% Yes (April 13-15) and Washington Post-Schar School's 52-47 among likely voters. This optimism stems from Democrats' massive fundraising advantage—outspending Republicans 44-to-1 with millions from groups like House Majority Forward—fueling ad blitzes ahead of the April 21 special election. Early voting turnout has surged in Democratic Northern Virginia strongholds, while GOP areas show solid but lower participation through April 18. The Supreme Court of Virginia's February clearance enabled the ballot measure to amend the constitution for mid-decade congressional map redraws, with Yes campaigns emphasizing "fairness" despite partisan gerrymandering critiques from opponents.
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Feb 26, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
거래량
$427,554종료일
2026.04.21마켓 개설일
Feb 26, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors passage of Virginia's redistricting referendum at 85.5% for Yes, diverging notably from recent polls showing narrow leads like State Navigate's 51% Yes (April 13-15) and Washington Post-Schar School's 52-47 among likely voters. This optimism stems from Democrats' massive fundraising advantage—outspending Republicans 44-to-1 with millions from groups like House Majority Forward—fueling ad blitzes ahead of the April 21 special election. Early voting turnout has surged in Democratic Northern Virginia strongholds, while GOP areas show solid but lower participation through April 18. The Supreme Court of Virginia's February clearance enabled the ballot measure to amend the constitution for mid-decade congressional map redraws, with Yes campaigns emphasizing "fairness" despite partisan gerrymandering critiques from opponents.
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote. If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this referendum vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official referendum results reported by the State of Virginia, specifically the Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/).
거래량
$427,554종료일
2026.04.21마켓 개설일
Feb 26, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors passage of Virginia's redistricting referendum at 85.5% for Yes, diverging notably from recent polls showing narrow leads like State Navigate's 51% Yes (April 13-15) and Washington Post-Schar School's 52-47 among likely voters. This optimism stems from Democrats' massive fundraising advantage—outspending Republicans 44-to-1 with millions from groups like House Majority Forward—fueling ad blitzes ahead of the April 21 special election. Early voting turnout has surged in Democratic Northern Virginia strongholds, while GOP areas show solid but lower participation through April 18. The Supreme Court of Virginia's February clearance enabled the ballot measure to amend the constitution for mid-decade congressional map redraws, with Yes campaigns emphasizing "fairness" despite partisan gerrymandering critiques from opponents.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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