Traders price an 84.5% chance against Missouri Amendment 3 passing on November 3, 2026, reflecting skepticism over repealing the voter-approved 2024 constitutional right to reproductive freedom despite bundling it with a gender transition procedures ban for minors. A February SLU/YouGov poll showed 47% support versus 40% opposition among likely voters, with 12% undecided—a plurality but within the margin of error—while March surveys indicated the transgender care restriction boosts appeal among some but fails to overcome national trends favoring abortion access. Strong opposition from Planned Parenthood, ACLU of Missouri, and labor unions contrasts with endorsements from Republican leaders and Catholic bishops; the measure diverges from polling by implying low passage odds amid historical difficulty overturning direct voter initiatives.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).Traders price an 84.5% chance against Missouri Amendment 3 passing on November 3, 2026, reflecting skepticism over repealing the voter-approved 2024 constitutional right to reproductive freedom despite bundling it with a gender transition procedures ban for minors. A February SLU/YouGov poll showed 47% support versus 40% opposition among likely voters, with 12% undecided—a plurality but within the margin of error—while March surveys indicated the transgender care restriction boosts appeal among some but fails to overcome national trends favoring abortion access. Strong opposition from Planned Parenthood, ACLU of Missouri, and labor unions contrasts with endorsements from Republican leaders and Catholic bishops; the measure diverges from polling by implying low passage odds amid historical difficulty overturning direct voter initiatives.
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
마켓 개설일: Mar 2, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
거래량
$429종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Mar 2, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).Traders price an 84.5% chance against Missouri Amendment 3 passing on November 3, 2026, reflecting skepticism over repealing the voter-approved 2024 constitutional right to reproductive freedom despite bundling it with a gender transition procedures ban for minors. A February SLU/YouGov poll showed 47% support versus 40% opposition among likely voters, with 12% undecided—a plurality but within the margin of error—while March surveys indicated the transgender care restriction boosts appeal among some but fails to overcome national trends favoring abortion access. Strong opposition from Planned Parenthood, ACLU of Missouri, and labor unions contrasts with endorsements from Republican leaders and Catholic bishops; the measure diverges from polling by implying low passage odds amid historical difficulty overturning direct voter initiatives.
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
거래량
$429종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Mar 2, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders price an 84.5% chance against Missouri Amendment 3 passing on November 3, 2026, reflecting skepticism over repealing the voter-approved 2024 constitutional right to reproductive freedom despite bundling it with a gender transition procedures ban for minors. A February SLU/YouGov poll showed 47% support versus 40% opposition among likely voters, with 12% undecided—a plurality but within the margin of error—while March surveys indicated the transgender care restriction boosts appeal among some but fails to overcome national trends favoring abortion access. Strong opposition from Planned Parenthood, ACLU of Missouri, and labor unions contrasts with endorsements from Republican leaders and Catholic bishops; the measure diverges from polling by implying low passage odds amid historical difficulty overturning direct voter initiatives.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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