Trader consensus prices Democrats at 93.5% to win Minnesota's open Senate seat after incumbent Tina Smith's February 2025 retirement announcement, reflecting the state's Democratic-leaning electorate—Kamala Harris carried it narrowly in 2024—and no Republican Senate victory since 2002. Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leads the Democratic primary per February polls (52% vs. Rep. Angie Craig's 22%), bolstered by Craig's recent $2.5 million Q1 fundraising haul reported April 15. Republican Michele Tafoya, a former NFL reporter with NRSC endorsement, trails in early general matchups like Emerson's February survey (Flanagan +6). Absent recent catalysts in the past 30 days, the August 11 primaries loom; a consolidated GOP nominee, national Republican wave, or Democratic scandal could challenge the lopsided odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$20,393 거래량
$20,393 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
6%
$20,393 거래량
$20,393 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$14,700 거래량
94%
공화당
$5,693 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices Democrats at 93.5% to win Minnesota's open Senate seat after incumbent Tina Smith's February 2025 retirement announcement, reflecting the state's Democratic-leaning electorate—Kamala Harris carried it narrowly in 2024—and no Republican Senate victory since 2002. Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leads the Democratic primary per February polls (52% vs. Rep. Angie Craig's 22%), bolstered by Craig's recent $2.5 million Q1 fundraising haul reported April 15. Republican Michele Tafoya, a former NFL reporter with NRSC endorsement, trails in early general matchups like Emerson's February survey (Flanagan +6). Absent recent catalysts in the past 30 days, the August 11 primaries loom; a consolidated GOP nominee, national Republican wave, or Democratic scandal could challenge the lopsided odds.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
거래량
$20,393종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices Democrats at 93.5% to win Minnesota's open Senate seat after incumbent Tina Smith's February 2025 retirement announcement, reflecting the state's Democratic-leaning electorate—Kamala Harris carried it narrowly in 2024—and no Republican Senate victory since 2002. Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leads the Democratic primary per February polls (52% vs. Rep. Angie Craig's 22%), bolstered by Craig's recent $2.5 million Q1 fundraising haul reported April 15. Republican Michele Tafoya, a former NFL reporter with NRSC endorsement, trails in early general matchups like Emerson's February survey (Flanagan +6). Absent recent catalysts in the past 30 days, the August 11 primaries loom; a consolidated GOP nominee, national Republican wave, or Democratic scandal could challenge the lopsided odds.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$20,393종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Democrats at 93.5% to win Minnesota's open Senate seat after incumbent Tina Smith's February 2025 retirement announcement, reflecting the state's Democratic-leaning electorate—Kamala Harris carried it narrowly in 2024—and no Republican Senate victory since 2002. Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leads the Democratic primary per February polls (52% vs. Rep. Angie Craig's 22%), bolstered by Craig's recent $2.5 million Q1 fundraising haul reported April 15. Republican Michele Tafoya, a former NFL reporter with NRSC endorsement, trails in early general matchups like Emerson's February survey (Flanagan +6). Absent recent catalysts in the past 30 days, the August 11 primaries loom; a consolidated GOP nominee, national Republican wave, or Democratic scandal could challenge the lopsided odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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