Minnesota's Democratic lean, combined with the retirement of incumbent Senator Tina Smith, positions the party to defend an open seat in the November 2026 election through a competitive primary between Representative Angie Craig and Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan. Recent polling in hypothetical general election matchups shows Democratic candidates ahead of leading Republican primary contenders such as Michele Tafoya by margins of 6 to 7 points, consistent with the state's partisan voting index and historical patterns for Senate races. The Democratic primary endorsement process and early fundraising further reinforce trader views that the eventual nominee will maintain a strong position heading into the general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$24,933 거래량
$24,933 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
90%
공화당
12%
$24,933 거래량
$24,933 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$16,999 거래량
90%
공화당
$7,935 거래량
12%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's Democratic lean, combined with the retirement of incumbent Senator Tina Smith, positions the party to defend an open seat in the November 2026 election through a competitive primary between Representative Angie Craig and Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan. Recent polling in hypothetical general election matchups shows Democratic candidates ahead of leading Republican primary contenders such as Michele Tafoya by margins of 6 to 7 points, consistent with the state's partisan voting index and historical patterns for Senate races. The Democratic primary endorsement process and early fundraising further reinforce trader views that the eventual nominee will maintain a strong position heading into the general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
거래량
$24,933종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's Democratic lean, combined with the retirement of incumbent Senator Tina Smith, positions the party to defend an open seat in the November 2026 election through a competitive primary between Representative Angie Craig and Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan. Recent polling in hypothetical general election matchups shows Democratic candidates ahead of leading Republican primary contenders such as Michele Tafoya by margins of 6 to 7 points, consistent with the state's partisan voting index and historical patterns for Senate races. The Democratic primary endorsement process and early fundraising further reinforce trader views that the eventual nominee will maintain a strong position heading into the general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$24,933종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's Democratic lean, combined with the retirement of incumbent Senator Tina Smith, positions the party to defend an open seat in the November 2026 election through a competitive primary between Representative Angie Craig and Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan. Recent polling in hypothetical general election matchups shows Democratic candidates ahead of leading Republican primary contenders such as Michele Tafoya by margins of 6 to 7 points, consistent with the state's partisan voting index and historical patterns for Senate races. The Democratic primary endorsement process and early fundraising further reinforce trader views that the eventual nominee will maintain a strong position heading into the general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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