Incumbent Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts holds a commanding trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability to win Nebraska's U.S. Senate race on November 3, 2026, buoyed by the state's deep-red electoral history—where Republicans have won every Senate contest since 1994—and his prior service as governor delivering tax cuts and economic growth. Democrat odds languish at 4.5% amid a chaotic primary featuring candidates like William Forbes, a Trump voter and anti-abortion pastor accused by party leaders of being a Republican plant, alongside court battles over ballot access. Independent Dan Osborn, who nearly upset Deb Fischer in 2024, trails in early polls but faces fresh scrutiny from a mid-April campaign finance probe involving family salaries, with May 12 primaries looming as the next catalyst.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$101,285 거래량
$101,285 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
70%
민주당
4%
$101,285 거래량
$101,285 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$42,213 거래량
70%
민주당
$59,072 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts holds a commanding trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability to win Nebraska's U.S. Senate race on November 3, 2026, buoyed by the state's deep-red electoral history—where Republicans have won every Senate contest since 1994—and his prior service as governor delivering tax cuts and economic growth. Democrat odds languish at 4.5% amid a chaotic primary featuring candidates like William Forbes, a Trump voter and anti-abortion pastor accused by party leaders of being a Republican plant, alongside court battles over ballot access. Independent Dan Osborn, who nearly upset Deb Fischer in 2024, trails in early polls but faces fresh scrutiny from a mid-April campaign finance probe involving family salaries, with May 12 primaries looming as the next catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
거래량
$101,285종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts holds a commanding trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability to win Nebraska's U.S. Senate race on November 3, 2026, buoyed by the state's deep-red electoral history—where Republicans have won every Senate contest since 1994—and his prior service as governor delivering tax cuts and economic growth. Democrat odds languish at 4.5% amid a chaotic primary featuring candidates like William Forbes, a Trump voter and anti-abortion pastor accused by party leaders of being a Republican plant, alongside court battles over ballot access. Independent Dan Osborn, who nearly upset Deb Fischer in 2024, trails in early polls but faces fresh scrutiny from a mid-April campaign finance probe involving family salaries, with May 12 primaries looming as the next catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$101,285종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts holds a commanding trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability to win Nebraska's U.S. Senate race on November 3, 2026, buoyed by the state's deep-red electoral history—where Republicans have won every Senate contest since 1994—and his prior service as governor delivering tax cuts and economic growth. Democrat odds languish at 4.5% amid a chaotic primary featuring candidates like William Forbes, a Trump voter and anti-abortion pastor accused by party leaders of being a Republican plant, alongside court battles over ballot access. Independent Dan Osborn, who nearly upset Deb Fischer in 2024, trails in early polls but faces fresh scrutiny from a mid-April campaign finance probe involving family salaries, with May 12 primaries looming as the next catalyst.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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